基于灰色关联熵的发电商市场趋势分析与研究

研究发电侧发电厂商的市场力对电力市场高效、稳定运营造成的不利影响。从市场结构、市场行为、市场绩效3个方面构建了发电商市场力评价指标体系。基于灰色关联熵模型揭示了决定发电商市场力大小的关键性因素,对发电商在不同时间段的市场力变化趋势进行了分析,并在此基础上制定了不同强度的激励规制、措施。最后通过算例验证了该方法的有效性、合理性。

Analysis and Study on Generation Company Market Trend Based on Grey Relation Entropy

The negative influence of market power of generation company on the generation side to the high efficient and stable operation of electric power market is stndied. The evaluation index system of market power of generation company is constructed from three aspects： the market structure, the market behavior and the market performance. Key factors determine the market power of generation company is revealed based on the gray relation entropy model. The trend of market power of generation company in different time period is analyzed based on which incentive regulations and measures with different intensity are made. The example verifies that the method is effective and reasonable.