| 世界石油供应风险对中国石油进口的影响 |
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| 引用本文： | 唐子烨 马宪国. 世界石油供应风险对中国石油进口的影响[J]. 能源研究与信息, 2004, 20(3): 125-131 |
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| 作者姓名： | 唐子烨 马宪国 |
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| 作者单位： | 上海理工大学,动力工程学院,上海,200093;上海理工大学,动力工程学院,上海,200093 |
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| 摘 要： | 分析了当前中国石油供应的状况，指出了中国步入世界石油进口大国行列的必然趋势。阐明了世界石油供应市场存在的巨大风险，并引入风险分析方法和概率统计原理对当前世界石油供应市场的潜在风险对中国石油供应安全的影响程度进行了量化分析。
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| 关 键 词： | 石油 进口 风险 概率 |
| 文章编号： | 1008-8857(2004)03-0125-07 |
Impact of world oil supply risk on China oil import |
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| TANG Zi-ye,MA Xian-guo. Impact of world oil supply risk on China oil import[J]. Energy Research and Information, 2004, 20(3): 125-131 |
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| Authors: | TANG Zi-ye MA Xian-guo |
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| Abstract: | The status quo of China oil supply is analyzed, and the inexorable trend of China becoming a great oil import country is indicated in this paper. In addition, it is expounded that a large risk exists on the world oil market. Finally, a quantitative analysis which is aimed at the impact of potential risk of the present world oil market on the safety of China oil supply is carried out using risk analysis and statistical methods. |
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| Keywords: | oil import risk probability |
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