上半年石油工业经营情况及下半年走势预测

今年上半年我国石油工业基本保持平稳、健康的发展格局:油气产量和消费需求均持续增长,油气开采业大幅盈利,原油加工业仍然亏损,投资大幅度增长,原油进口依存度加大。下半年需要采取的应对措施是:进一步完善成品油价格形成机制;规范和引导上海石油交易所健康运行;加强天然气管理,作好需求预测;实施石油替代激励政策。预计下半年国际油价继续走高的可能性较大;我国全年石油表观消费可能会突破3亿吨,进口依存度继续在40%以上。

Operation Situations in First Half Year and Trend Forecast in Second Half Year for Petroleum industry

Our petroleum industry during the first half of this year remained stable and healthy development pattern: Oil and gas production and consumer demand will continue to grow; Substantial oil and gas extraction industry profits; Crude oil processing industry is still loss, although investment grows, crude oil depends on imports. So we should: Further improve the oil price formation mechanism; normatively guide the healthy operation of the Shanghai Stock Exchange oil; strengthen the management of natural gas, make demand forecasts; implement the incentive policy of oil alternative. The possibility of international oil prices is expected to continually increase; our annual apparent consumption of petroleum will exceed 300 million tons. Dependence on import will be more than 40%.