多专家联合求解系统中不确定性处理

在多个专家联合求解的系统中，有时每个专家给出了多个不同的结论和可信度值，有时给出同一个结论和不同的可信度值。为处理这种不确定性，提出了模糊综合评判的方法来处理第1种不确定性。对第2种不确定性的处理，采用平均值、加减法和影响法来调整各可信度值，最后用加权平均和模糊熵方法来求出一个统一的可信度值。

Uncertainty management in multi-expert cooperative solving system

In a multi-expert cooperative solving system, each of expert gives either several different conclusions and certainty factor value or the same conclusion and different certainty factor value. In order to cope with two kinds of uncertainty, a fuzzy comprehensive appraising method to deal with the first uncertainty is presented. As for the second one, means, increasement-decreasement or influence method to modify all certainty factor value are first used, and then mean with weight or entropy method is used to synthesize to obtain a uniform certainty factor value.