| 基于人工神经元网络的工厂电力负荷短期预报 |
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| 引用本文： | 郑家声 杜国明. 基于人工神经元网络的工厂电力负荷短期预报[J]. 上海工程技术大学学报, 1998, 12(2): 5-9,15 |
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| 作者姓名： | 郑家声 杜国明 |
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| 作者单位： | 上海工程技术大学纺织学院!上海200065(郑家声，何松康)，上海第二十一棉纺织厂!上海200051(杜国明) |
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| 摘 要： | 讨论用人工神经元网络技术对工厂企业的电力负荷（用电量）峰值作为短期预报，分析负荷运动畸变对预报精度的影响，仿真预报算例证实，人工神经元ＢＰ学习预报算法对工厂企业电力负荷的预报能得令人满意的效果。
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| 关 键 词： | 神经网络 电力系统 运行 短期预报 电力负荷 |
SHORT-TERM FACTORY ELECTRIC LOAD FORECASTING BASED ON ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK |
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| Zheng Jiasheng, He Songkang, Du Guoming. SHORT-TERM FACTORY ELECTRIC LOAD FORECASTING BASED ON ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK[J]. Journal of Shanghai University of Engineering Science, 1998, 12(2): 5-9,15 |
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| Authors: | Zheng Jiasheng He Songkang Du Guoming |
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| Affiliation: | Zheng Jiasheng; He Songkang; Du Guoming |
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| Abstract: | This paper discusses factory electric load forecasting by using Artifificial Neural Network (ANN)and analyses the effect of electric load distortion on the precision of forecasting. The simulation forecasting examples shows that ANN-BP algorithm is efficient for short-term factory electric load forecasting. |
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| Keywords: | Neural networks Electric power system operation Short-term forecast |
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