| 不确定信息下基于证据推理的武器系统戒备率评估方法 |
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| 引用本文： | 尹德进,王宏力.不确定信息下基于证据推理的武器系统戒备率评估方法[J].战术导弹技术,2011(2):62-67. |
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| 作者姓名： | 尹德进 王宏力 |
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| 作者单位： | 第二炮兵工程学院;96201部队; |
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| 摘 要： | 在对武器系统戒备率内涵分析的基础上,建立了武器系统戒备率指标体系.针对评估过程中需要处理大量定量或定性的模糊、未知等不确定信息的问题,构建了基于信度的戒备率评估模型,并提出了基于证据推理的武器系统戒备率评估方法.该方法能够综合处理各种定量、定性的不确定信息,最后运用该方法对某武器系统的戒备率进行了评估.
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| 关 键 词： | 戒备率 证据推理 不确定 武器系统 |
An Evidential Reasoning Approach for Alert Rate Assessment of Missile Weapon System Under Uncertainty |
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| Yin Dejin,Wang Hongli.An Evidential Reasoning Approach for Alert Rate Assessment of Missile Weapon System Under Uncertainty[J].Tactical Missile Technology,2011(2):62-67. |
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| Authors: | Yin Dejin Wang Hongli |
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| Affiliation: | Yin Dejin1,2,Wang Hongli1 (1.The Second Artillery Engineering Institute,Xi'an710025,China,2.No.96201 Army of PLA,Kunming650219,China) |
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| Abstract: | The index system of alert rate(AR) is built based on analyzing the connotation of alert rate of weapon system.The decision makers have to deal with the qualitative and quantitative information with various types of uncertainties in the process of evaluating the alert rate of weapon system.Incompleteness and vagueness are among the most common uncertainties.An alert rate evaluation approach and process for weapon system is proposed on the base of belief structure model and the evidential reasoning(ER) approa... |
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| Keywords: | alert rate evidential reasoning approach uncertainty weapon system |
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