| 电信产业固定资产投资波动分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 方琼,陈灿,郭玉锦.电信产业固定资产投资波动分析[J].西安邮电学院学报,2009,14(2):32-35. |
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| 作者姓名： | 方琼 陈灿 郭玉锦 |
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| 作者单位： | 北京邮电大学,经济管理学院,北京,100876 |
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| 摘 要： | 在考察我国电信固定资产投资波动特征基础上,对1979—2007年间电信固定资产投资波动与电信消费波动进行了协整检验,并运用有限分布滞后模型分析了两者的动态关联性。研究表明,电信固定资产投资波动与电信消费波动之间存在长期稳定的均衡关系,且固定资产投资波动性根本上是由电信消费波动引致的,但同时也与投融资体制和电信产业政策紧密相关。
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| 关 键 词： | 电信固定资产投资 波动性 电信消费 协整检验 有限分布滞后模型 |
Analysis on volatility of telecommunications investment in fixed assets |
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| FANG Qiong,CHEN Can,GUO Yu-jin.Analysis on volatility of telecommunications investment in fixed assets[J].Journal of Xi'an Institute of Posts and Telecommunications,2009,14(2):32-35. |
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| Authors: | FANG Qiong CHEN Can GUO Yu-jin |
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| Affiliation: | (School of Economics and Management, Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications,Beijing 100876,China) |
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| Abstract: | Based on measure volatility of telecommunications investment in fixed assets, according to the statistical data of telecommunications investment in fixed assets and telecom consumption from 1979 to 2007, this paper analyzes the relativity of telecommunications investment in fixed assets and telecom consumption by using method such as cointegration test and Finite Distributed Lag （FDL） Model. Results show that there is stable equilibrium between telecommunications investment in fixed assets and telecom consumption. Volatility of telecommunications investment in fixed assets is caused by volatility of telecom consumption foundationally, and related with investment and financing system, and government policies as well. |
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| Keywords: | telecommunications investment in fixed assets volatility telecom consumption cointegration test Finite Distributed Lag （FDL） Model |
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