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基于数据挖掘技术的移动通信话务预测模型探析
引用本文:任君明.基于数据挖掘技术的移动通信话务预测模型探析[J].电信工程技术与标准化,2015(6).
作者姓名:任君明
作者单位:中国移动通信集团广东有限公司江门分公司,江门,529000
摘    要:本文探讨引入数据挖掘技术和算法,通过3种高精度话务预测模型对某市话务数据建模和预测验证,探析3种模型的实际误差和适用场景,并提出基于数据挖掘技术的移动通信智能话务预测管理平台架构设想,具有较高的推广和应用价值。

关 键 词:话务预测  数据挖掘  回归分析  BP神经网络  ARIMA
收稿时间:4/2/2015 12:00:00 AM
修稿时间:2015/4/17 0:00:00

Discussion on Mobile CommunicationTraffic Forecasting Model based on Data Mining Technology
REN Junming.Discussion on Mobile CommunicationTraffic Forecasting Model based on Data Mining Technology[J].Telecom Engineering Technics and Standardization,2015(6).
Authors:REN Junming
Affiliation:China Mobile Group Guangdong Co.,Ltd Jiangmen branch
Abstract:S: Traffic forecasting has important guiding significance for communication operator precision planning and precision marketing.This thesis discussed how to use data mining technology to establish three kinds of high precision traffic forecasting models: regression analysis prediction model, BP neural network prediction model, ARIMA time series prediction model, modelled and verified traffic data of one city, and studied of three kinds of model of the actual error and application scenarios.This thesis put forward the mobile communication intelligent traffic forecasting management platform architecture based on data mining, it had high promotion and application value.
Keywords:Traffic Forecasting  Data Mining  Regression Analysis  BP Neural Network  ARIMA
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