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改进层次分析法在土石坝安全评价中的应用
引用本文:陈诚,花剑岚.改进层次分析法在土石坝安全评价中的应用[J].水利水电科技进展,2010,30(2):58-62.
作者姓名:陈诚  花剑岚
作者单位:1. 黄河水利职业技术学院水利系,河南,开封,475003
2. 南京市水利规划设计院有限责任公司,江苏,南京,210022
基金项目:河南省教育厅自然科学研究计划项目 
摘    要:对影响土石坝安全的基本事件进行系统分析和研究,开发土石坝安全评价数学模型。该模型直观地反映了各基本事件之间的关系,利用概率计算理论求解土石坝溃决概率,同时引用改进层次分析法,分析各基本事件对大坝溃决的影响程度,可较好地确定各基本事件的概率权重。以陆浑水库大坝为例进行安全评价,对数学模型进行验证,结果表明该模型的模拟计算结果与目前对大坝安全评价的结论较吻合。

关 键 词:土石坝  大坝溃决  数学模型  大坝安全评价  陆浑水库大坝
修稿时间:2010/4/20 0:00:00

Application of improved analytic hierarchy process method in safety assessment of earth-rockfill dams
CHEN Cheng,HUA Jian-lan.Application of improved analytic hierarchy process method in safety assessment of earth-rockfill dams[J].Advances in Science and Technology of Water Resources,2010,30(2):58-62.
Authors:CHEN Cheng  HUA Jian-lan
Affiliation:CHEN Cheng1,HUA Jian-lan2(1.Department of Water Conservancy of Yellow River Conservancy Technical Institute,Kaifeng 475003,China,2.Nanjing Water Planning , Designing Institute Co.,Ltd.,Nanjing 210022,China)
Abstract:The basic events for the safety of earth-rockfill dams were studied.A mathematical model for the safety assessment of earth-rock dams was developed. The model directly depicted the relationship among various basic events.The probability of breaking of earth-rockfill dams was solved by use of the theory of probability.The improved analytic hierarchy process method was employed to analyze the influences of the basic events on dam breaking.The probability weights of the basic events could be satisfactorily det...
Keywords:earth-rockfill dam  dam breaking  mathematical model  dam safety assessment  Luhun Dam  
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