| 河北经济周期波动的实证研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 金浩,高素英,史建明,李延军.河北经济周期波动的实证研究[J].河北工业大学学报,2004,33(6):19-24. |
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| 作者姓名： | 金浩 高素英 史建明 李延军 |
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| 作者单位： | 河北工业大学,管理学院,天津,300130;河北工业大学,管理学院,天津,300130;河北工业大学,管理学院,天津,300130;河北工业大学,管理学院,天津,300130 |
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| 基金项目： | 河北省社科联立项课题(200302029) |
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| 摘 要： | 以经济增长率波动为主要考察对象，对河北省建国以来经济周期波动的状况、总体特征、产业结构特征以及主要影响因素进行了实证研究．得出了要实现未来河北经济波动的微波化，就必须弱化政府管制力量，强化市场力量，确立市场在经济生活中的统治地位的结论．
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| 关 键 词： | 经济周期 经济波动 经济增长率 回归系数 波动系数 |
| 文章编号： | 1007-2373(2004)06-0019-06 |
| 修稿时间： | 2003年12月20 |
A Positive Study on the Cyclic Fluctuation of Hebei's Economy |
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| JIN Hao,GAO Su-ying,SHI Jian-ming,LI Yan-jun.A Positive Study on the Cyclic Fluctuation of Hebei's Economy[J].Journal of Hebei University of Technology,2004,33(6):19-24. |
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| Authors: | JIN Hao GAO Su-ying SHI Jian-ming LI Yan-jun |
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| Abstract: | Business fluctuations are phenomena seen quite often during the process of economic development. Taking the fluctuation of economic growth rate as its observing object, this paper makes a comprehensive study on Hebei's economy and its business cycle along with the general characteristics of the fluctuations, those of the industry structure, and the major influential factors. The paper, furthermore, draws a conclusion that in order to minimize the business fluctuation in the future, the government has to loose its control, to strengthen the market power, and thus, to establish the leading status of the market in the economic development. |
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| Keywords: | business cycle economic fluctuation economic growth rate regression coefficient fluctuation coeffi cient |
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