| 城市用水量中长期预测模型的研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 袁一星,张杰,徐洪福,曲世琳. 城市用水量中长期预测模型的研究[J]. 给水排水, 2004, 30(6): 102-105 |
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| 作者姓名： | 袁一星 张杰 徐洪福 曲世琳 |
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| 作者单位： | 北京工业大学环境与能源工程学院,北京,100022;哈尔滨工业大学市政环境工程学院,哈尔滨,150090;北京工业大学环境与能源工程学院,北京,100022;哈尔滨工业大学市政环境工程学院,哈尔滨,150090 |
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| 摘 要： | 城市用水量中长期预测结果 ,对于给水工程运行管理和城市基础设施规划有着重要的意义。认为城市中期用水量的预测应采用BP网络预测模型 ,长期用水量的预测应采用灰色预测模型 ,并通过实测验证了BP网络预测模型和灰色预测模型的合理性。
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| 关 键 词： | 城市用水量 中长期 预测 模型 |
Study on medium and long-term forecasting model of urban water consumption |
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| Yuan Yi-xing ,,Zhang Jie ,Xu Hong-fu ,Qu Shi-lin. Study on medium and long-term forecasting model of urban water consumption[J]. Water & Wastewater Engineering, 2004, 30(6): 102-105 |
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| Authors: | Yuan Yi-xing Zhang Jie Xu Hong-fu Qu Shi-lin |
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| Affiliation: | Yuan Yi-xing 1,2,Zhang Jie 1,Xu Hong-fu 2,Qu Shi-lin 2 |
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| Abstract: | The result of medium and long-term forecast for water consumption is very significant for the operation of water supply system and the planning of urban infrastructure. The scientific rationality of BP forecast model and gray forecast model used for medium and long-term forecast respectively are verified in this paper by field test. |
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| Keywords: | Urban water comsumption Medium and long-term Forecasting Model |
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