| 基于系统动力学的我国钢铁工业碳足迹研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 李岭. 基于系统动力学的我国钢铁工业碳足迹研究[J]. 冶金自动化, 2011, 35(6) |
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| 作者姓名： | 李岭 |
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| 作者单位： | 北京科技大学经济管理学院,北京,100083 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金资助项目(71172168); 中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目(FRF-AS-09-005A) |
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| 摘 要： | 我国钢铁工业正在快速发展，目前已经成为世界钢铁大国，但还不是钢铁强国，在当前建设资源节约型、环境友好型社会的要求下，钢铁工业需要加强CO2减排工作。笔者在对中国钢铁工业节能减排现状研究的基础上，利用系统动力学，建立了中国钢铁工业钢铁需求量、能耗水平和CO2排放模型，并进行了相应计算，根据计算结果提出了中国钢铁工业CO2减排的对策。结论表明从内部需求和外部驱动两方面看，中国钢铁工业需要走低碳发展道路，钢铁工业可以在2020-2025年后将CO2排放量基本稳定下来。
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| 关 键 词： | 钢铁工业 钢铁需求 能源消耗 碳足迹 系统动力学 |
Research on the carbon-footprint in China iron and steel industry based on system dynamics |
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| LI Ling. Research on the carbon-footprint in China iron and steel industry based on system dynamics[J]. Metallurgical Industry Automation, 2011, 35(6) |
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| Authors: | LI Ling |
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| Affiliation: | LI Ling(School of Economics and Management,University of Science and Technology Beijing,Beijing,100083 China) |
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| Abstract: | Iron and steel industry has a rapid development after the founding of the country,China becomes the world's largest steel country now,but not strong.In the current situation of constructing resource-saving and environment-friendly society,we need to reduce the CO2 emission in iron and steel industry.In this paper,the model of the demand for steel,energy consumption and CO2 emission are built based on the system dynamics as a tool.And then,predictions are conducted based on three different scenarios.The conc... |
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| Keywords: | iron and steel industry iron and steel demand energy consumption carbon-footprint system dynamics |
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