| 项目风险管理循环控制力度的ABMS仿真 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 张亚莉,杨朝君. 项目风险管理循环控制力度的ABMS仿真[J]. 工业工程与管理, 2009, 14(5) |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 张亚莉 杨朝君 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 西北工业大学,管理学院,陕西,西安,710072;西安电子科技大学,经济管理学院,陕西,西安,710071 |
| |
| 摘 要： | 针对目前项目风险管理循环次数选择的控制力度问题,提出了利用复杂自适应系统理论和智能体仿真技术.在风险主动计划、持续过程及利益相关者沟通的基础上,进行项目全生命周期的风险建模与模拟.将风险所需知识在风险利益相关者之间的分布以及风险所需的知识分布作为该模型的主要输入参数,通过对项目团队或环境变量的调节,管理者可以根据估计的风险控制成本来确定一个适宜的风险管理循环控制力度.
|
| 关 键 词： | 风险知识 风险管理循环 智能体仿真 利益相关者 |
ABMS Simulation of Project Risk Management Cycle Counts |
| |
| ZHANG Ya-li,YANG Zhao-jun. ABMS Simulation of Project Risk Management Cycle Counts[J]. Industrial Engineering and Management, 2009, 14(5) |
| |
| Authors: | ZHANG Ya-li YANG Zhao-jun |
| |
| Affiliation: | 1.Management School;Northwestern Polytechnic University;Xi'an 710072;China;2.Economy and Management School;Xidian University;Xi'an 710071;China |
| |
| Abstract: | Based on risk proactive plan,continuous processes and communication among stakeholders,this paper suggests using complex self-adaptive system theory and agent-based modeling and simulation technique to model and simulate project risk in entire life cycle,in order to decide the proper cycle counts of project risk management.The main input parameters of this model are the risk knowledge distributed among stakeholders as well as the risk knowledge distributed among risks.By adjusting the environmental variable... |
| |
| Keywords: | risk knowledge risk management cycle agent-based modeling and simulation stakeholder |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
|
