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Estimation of the importance measures of multi-state elements by Monte Carlo simulation
Authors:Enrico Zio  Luca Podofillini  Gregory Levitin  
Affiliation:a Department of Nuclear Engineering, Polytechnic of Milan, Via Ponzio 34/3, 20133, Milan, Italy;b Department of Reliability, The Israel Electric Corporation, P.O. Box 10, Haifa 31000, Israel
Abstract:A generalization of some frequently used importance measures has been proposed by some of the authors for application to multi-state systems constituted by multi-state elements. This paper deals with the Monte Carlo (MC) estimation of these measures, which entails evaluating the system output performance under restrictions on the performance levels of its multi-state elements. Simulation procedures are proposed according to two different performance-restriction approaches. Further, the flexibility of the MC method is exploited to account for load-sharing and operational dependencies among parallel elements. The approach is tested on a multi-state transmission system of literature.
Keywords:Importance measure  Multi-state system  Multi-state elements  Load-sharing  Dependencies  Monte Carlo simulation
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