| 基于指标验证法的移动用户定量预测方法 |
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| 引用本文： | 俞昌虹,周国祥,石雷.基于指标验证法的移动用户定量预测方法[J].电信工程技术与标准化,2007,20(2):70-74. |
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| 作者姓名： | 俞昌虹 周国祥 石雷 |
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| 作者单位： | 合肥工业大学,合肥,230000;中国移动通信集团设计院有限公司安徽分公司,合肥,230031;合肥工业大学,合肥,230000 |
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| 基金项目： | 安徽省自然科学基金项目资助,项目编号050420202. |
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| 摘 要： | 针对移动用户发展预测，本文在传统数学预测方法的基础上，提出一种新的指标验证法。该方法充分考虑了指标的控制因素，将ARPU、MOU及资费纳入用户预测的整体考虑，从而达到对移动用户的预测更加合理准确。本文最后以实例验证了该方法的合理性和准确性。
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| 关 键 词： | 指标验证法 ARPU MOU 资费 |
Optimizing Quantitative Forecasting Method to Mobile Telecommunication Subscribers Based on Index Verification |
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| Yu Changhong,Zhou Guoxiang,Shi Lei.Optimizing Quantitative Forecasting Method to Mobile Telecommunication Subscribers Based on Index Verification[J].Telecom Engineering Technics and Standardization,2007,20(2):70-74. |
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| Authors: | Yu Changhong Zhou Guoxiang Shi Lei |
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| Abstract: | Based on traditional mathematical forecasting methods, we have proposed a new method, which is called economic proving method, to forecast the mobile telecommunication subscriber-forecasting development. This method sufficiently considers the effects ofARPU, MOU and price, resulting in more accurate and reasonable forecasting. In this paper, the last example demonstrates that this method is accurate and reasonable. |
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| Keywords: | method of index verification ARPU MOU fee |
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