鱼雷装载可靠性Bayes方法评定

鱼雷装载可靠性是鱼雷可靠性的重要指标，由于客观条件限制，依靠传统方法进行装载可靠性评定存在很大困难。在分析鱼雷可靠性信息来源的基础上，提出了综合利用验前信息和验后信息的Bayes评定方法。分析了验前信息来源和试验信息的结构，给出了验前数据和试验数据的处理方法，最后举例说明了该方法的有效性和科学性。

Torpedo Load Reliability Assessment Using Bayes Methods

Torpedo Load Reliability is an important indicator of torpedo Reliability. Since the objective conditions, it＇ s very difficult to assess the load reliability of torpedo using traditional methods. On the ba- sis of analyzing the Reliable source of information, a Bayes Assessment Method of integrating prior informa- tion and a posteriori information was put forward. This paper analyzes the structure prior information sources and test information, and gives the pretest data processing methods and test data. Finally, the method is proved to be effective and scientific by giving an example.