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An investigation of artificial neural networks based prediction systems in software project management
Authors:Iris Fabiana de Barcelos Tronto [Author Vitae],José   Demí  sio Simõ  es da Silva [Author Vitae] [Author Vitae]
Affiliation:Laboratory for Computing and Applied Mathematics - LAC, Brazilian National Institute for Space Research - INPE, Av. Astronautas, 1758, Jardim da Granja, Zip 13081-970, São José dos Campos, SP, Brazil
Abstract:A critical issue in software project management is the accurate estimation of size, effort, resources, cost, and time spent in the development process. Underestimates may lead to time pressures that may compromise full functional development and the software testing process. Likewise, overestimates can result in noncompetitive budgets. In this paper, artificial neural network and stepwise regression based predictive models are investigated, aiming at offering alternative methods for those who do not believe in estimation models. The results presented in this paper compare the performance of both methods and indicate that these techniques are competitive with the APF, SLIM, and COCOMO methods.
Keywords:Software effort estimation   Predictive accuracy   Artificial neural networks   Linear regression   Data mining
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