| 基于供电煤耗预测的节能分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 刘静茹,周少祥. 基于供电煤耗预测的节能分析[J]. 电力科学与工程, 2009, 25(4) |
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| 作者姓名： | 刘静茹 周少祥 |
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| 作者单位： | 华北电力大学能源与动力工程学院,北京,102206 |
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| 摘 要： | 基于我国能源的利用现状,对我国单位GDP能耗和单位GDP电耗的变化趋势进行了分析.着重针对近20余年来我国发电机组的年平均供电煤耗的变化进行分析并采用三次指数平滑模型对未来年平均供电煤耗的变化趋势做出预测.根据预测结果,对优化火电结构的战略问题进行了研究,结合我国目前电源结构的实际情况,论述了调整电源结构的重要性,提出了调整电源结构,达到节能降耗目标的具体措施.
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| 关 键 词： | 节能降耗 供电煤耗预测 电源结构 |
Analysis of Energy-saving Based on Unit Coal Consumption Forecast |
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| Liu Jingru,Zhou Shaoxiang. Analysis of Energy-saving Based on Unit Coal Consumption Forecast[J]. Power Science and Engineering, 2009, 25(4) |
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| Authors: | Liu Jingru Zhou Shaoxiang |
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| Affiliation: | School of Energy and Power Engineering;North China Electric Power University;Beijing 102206;China |
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| Abstract: | Energy-saving is the focus of China '11th Five-Year' Plan.There is still a gap away from China energy consumption to the goal.Based on the current situation of the use of China energy,the trends of the energy consumption per GDP and the electricity consumption per GDP were analyzed in this paper.The emphasis of this paper was the analysis of average annual coal consumption in China generating units during the past twenty years and the trend forecast of average annual coal consumption in the use of three ind... |
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| Keywords: | energy-saving unit coal consumption power structure |
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