| GM(1,1)残差模型在民航客运量预测中的应用 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 俞锋. GM(1,1)残差模型在民航客运量预测中的应用[J]. 西华大学学报(自然科学版), 2006, 25(6): 29-30,34 |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 俞锋 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 成都理工大学信息管理学院,四川,成都,610059 |
| |
| 摘 要： | 利用GM（1，1）模型对民航客运量进行模拟预测，用GM（1，1）残差模型对其进行修正，得出精度很高的预测公式，并用模型的后验差检验所建预测模型，证明预测公式精度较高，以期在今后的实际预测中取得很好效果。
|
| 关 键 词： | GM(1,1)模型 GM(1 1)残差模型 民航客运量 预测 |
| 文章编号： | 1673-159X（2006）06-0029-02 |
| 收稿时间： | 2006-06-20 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006-06-20 |
Application of the Remnant Error Model GM(1,1) in Forecasting the Number of Passengers for Civil Aviation Transportation |
| |
| YU Feng. Application of the Remnant Error Model GM(1,1) in Forecasting the Number of Passengers for Civil Aviation Transportation[J]. Journal of Xihua University(Natural Science Edition), 2006, 25(6): 29-30,34 |
| |
| Authors: | YU Feng |
| |
| Abstract: | Along with the improvement of living standard,the civil aviation is playing more and more important role.This article uses the GM(1,1) model to simulate and forecast the number of passengers,and employs the remnant error model of GM(1,1) to correct the error.As a result,the forecast formula with very high precision is educed,and applied in practical forecast. |
| |
| Keywords: | GM(1 1)model remnant error model GM(1 1) number of passengers for civil aviation transportation forecast |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
|
