建筑工业化发展的多群体演化博弈与仿真研究

新型建筑工业化具有高质量、低消耗、可循环发展等特征，其推广已上升到国家战略层面。利用演化博弈方法，建立“政府-开发商-银行” 的三方动态演化博弈模型，进行各博弈主体策略的演化稳定性分析，并针对初始状态、奖惩力度、借贷风险和开发成本等对演化结果的影响进行动态仿真。在此基础上， 考虑开发商群体的网络拓扑特征对演化真实性的影响，引入复杂网络理论， 以无标度网络为载体描述开发商个体的连接偏好和决策机制，构建政府监管下的建筑工业化扩散模型，并通过仿真深入研究相关因素对扩散深度的影响作用，最后结合仿真结果给出相应对策建议。     

Emergency egress for the elderly in care home fire situations

Practitioners are continuing to develop egress modelling software for the design of the built environment. These models require data about human behaviour and factors for calibration, validation and verification. This study aims to address the specific data and knowledge gap: emergency egress of the elderly. Such data are difficult to collect given privacy and consent concerns, with strong relationships generally being required between residences and researchers. Through the observation of nine fire drills at six Canadian long-term care (LTC) and retirement homes, specific evacuation actions and behaviour were observed for 37 staff members and information about the evacuation of 56 residents was collected. These drills demonstrated that emergency egress in LTC and retirement homes is highly staff dependent with 72% of residents recorded requiring full assistance at all stages of movement in evacuation, and that the type of announced/unannounced drill and level of resident care will affect the type of data collected. The development of travel speed and pre-movement is discussed subject to limitation with qualitative behavioural insights of residents that were observed. This study provides valuable methodological discussion on how to conduct behavioural studies in similar highly restricted research environments. Specific attention is given to understanding the considerations that must be made when using fire drills as data sources, and the impact that these can have on using such data for modelling. This study may inform the initial setup and programming of evacuation models from an actions and behavioural perspectives of staff members and residents.     

Engineering egress data considering pedestrians with reduced mobility

To quantify the evacuation process, evacuation practitioners use engineering egress data describing the occupant movement characteristics. These data are typically based to young and fit populations. However, the movement abilities of occupants who might be involved in evacuations are becoming more variable—with the building populations of today typically including increasing numbers of individuals: with impairments or who are otherwise elderly or generally less mobile. Thus, there will be an increasing proportion of building occupants with reduced ability to egress. For safe evacuation, there is therefore a need to provide valid engineering egress data considering pedestrians with disabilities. Gwynne and Boyce recently compiled a series of data sets related to the evacuation process to support practitioner activities in the chapter Engineering Data in the SFPE Handbook of Fire Protection Engineering. This paper supplements these data sets by providing information on and presenting data obtained from additional research related to the premovement and horizontal movement of participants with physical‐, cognitive‐, or age‐related disabilities. The aim is to provide an overview of currently available data sets related to, and key factors affecting the egress performance of, mixed ability populations which could be used to guide fire safety engineering decisions in the context of building design.     

关于信息化测绘时代工程测量发展的思考

如今我国信息化技术全面发展，尤其对于工程测量工作领域来讲，不管是在工程建设和管理方面都产生不小的支撑引导效用。由此，笔者具体结合如今工程建设信息化测绘核心任何以及设备布置细节，进行结构整体安全管理周期和周边地理空间信息技术发展能效整理解析，试图将工程测量最新发展机遇和技术挑战问题处理完全。希望能够借此为日后一定时期范围内相关工程测量规划主体提供合理指导性建议内容，最终为我国各类工程事业可持续发展前景绽放奠定深刻适应基础。     

数据融合在经纬仪引导中的应用

介绍一种用于经纬仪引导数据的处理方法。该方法利用参数估计法对引导数据进行融合，弥补了常规方法的不足。对经纬仪引导数据进行处理，结果表明，该方法可显著提高经纬仪的引导精度，引导误差小于0．50m。     

一种复合制导导弹的导航滤波器设计

研究了一种中制导段采用雷达修正的遥控制导方式和末制导段采用捷联式自寻的导引头的自导引制导方式的捷联式复合制导的中远程战术导弹的导航滤波问题，考虑到目标的大机动性和模型的非线性，基于最佳估计理论中的广义卡尔曼滤波理论，建立了通用导航滤波方程，仿真计算与仿真结果表明所做设计是合理和有效的。     

Application of Code Approach for Emergency Evacuation in a Rail Station

This paper presents an emergency evacuation analysis during a mid-platform train fire in an underground rail station. A time-based evacuation scenario is developed taking into account the stairway inaccessibility due to smoke blockage. The calculation approach in NFPA 130 is then applied to a parametric study of this time-based scenario and its reliability is examined using a micro-simulation model. Both methods give consistent predictions of the exiting times. The results demonstrate that with the division of the station into two zones, the exiting time could not meet the code requirements, whereas it does meet the required exiting time without the division. Such division is due to smoke blockage and creates an uneven ratio of the occupant load to the available exiting capacity. This shows that appropriate consideration of the fire and smoke effects is important for station egress evaluation. Other issues such as the fire growth rate and the pre-evacuation time are also discussed.     

Robust图像跟踪：强度—特征混合式目标定位

在像平面上确定目标的位置(由它的瞄准点位置表示)是图像跟踪技术的核心.目前研究的目标是图像定位方法多偏重于单一的工作模式,因而难以适应变化较大的使用环境.本文提出一种旨在综合利用强度相关和特征匹配的混合式目标图像定位方法.假定当前帧图像已经过预处理并完成分割,首先通过一种自适应门限SSDA并辅之以投影排序搜索,尽可能快速地剔除与参考图差别较大的子区;再用一种简便可靠并可具一定记忆能力的特征匹配法,在保留的子区集内,为目标精确定位——宣布瞄准点位置.利用实际序列图像所作实验表明:上述方法较之通常采用的单一工作模式的定位方法,有明显增强的Robust性以及更广的适应性,而增加的计算代价不大.     

抗红外成像制导技术浅析

红外成像制导导弹自诞生以来 ,经过数十年的发展 ,技术日臻完善 ,应用日趋广泛 ,研究和探讨对抗红外成像制导的技术和方法就显得尤为重要。介绍了红外成像制导的基本原理、发展和在战争中的重要作用 ,重点探讨了对抗红外成像制导的几种技术手段。     

对微弱激光辐射的探测

由于面临越来越严重的激光制导武器的威胁 ,对来袭威胁进行早期预警日趋重要。概要介绍了微弱激光辐射探测技术国外研究现状及发展趋势。对微弱激光辐射探测关键技术进行了研究探讨。