Prediction of sediment,particulate nutrient and dissolved nutrient concentrations in a dry tropical river to provide input to a mechanistic coastal water quality model

A Generalised Additive Modelling (GAM) approach is applied to prediction of both particulate and dissolved nutrient concentrations in a wet-tropical river (the Fitzroy River, Queensland, Australia). In addition to covariant terms considered in previous work (i.e. flow, discounted flow and a rising-falling limb term), we considered several new potential covariates: meteorological and hydrological variables that are routinely monitored, available in near-real time, and were considered to have potential predictive power. Of the additional terms considered, only flows from three tributaries of the Fitzroy River (namely, the Nogoa, Comet and Isaac Rivers) were found to significantly improve the model. Inclusion of one or more of these additional flow terms greatly improved results for dissolved nitrogen and dissolved phosphorus concentrations, which were not otherwise amenable to prediction. In particular, the Nogoa sub-catchment, dominated by pasture for cattle, was found to be important in determining dissolved inorganic nitrogen and phosphorus concentrations reaching the river mouth. This insight may direct further research, including future refinement of processed-based catchment models. The GAMs described here are used to provide near real-time river boundary conditions for a complex coupled hydrodynamic and biogeochemical model of the Great Barrier Reef Lagoon, and can be coupled with a forecasting hydrological model to allow integrated forecasting simulations of the catchment to coast system.     

A web-based software tool for participatory optimization of conservation practices in watersheds

WRESTORE (Watershed Restoration Using Spatio-Temporal Optimization of Resources) is a web-based, participatory planning tool that can be used to engage with watershed stakeholder communities, and involve them in using science-based, human-guided, interactive simulation–optimization methods for designing potential conservation practices on their landscape. The underlying optimization algorithms, process simulation models, and interfaces allow users to not only spatially optimize the locations and types of new conservation practices based on quantifiable goals estimated by the dynamic simulation models, but also to include their personal subjective and/or unquantifiable criteria in the location and design of these practices. In this paper, we describe the software, interfaces, and architecture of WRESTORE, provide scenarios for implementing the WRESTORE tool in a watershed community's planning process, and discuss considerations for future developments.     

西气东输对南水北调穿黄隧洞影响动力分析计算

西气东输管线距离南水北调工程穿黄河隧道的最近距离:河漫滩仅150 m,主河槽仅205 m.输气管线在运行过程中,存在着因误操作、管道腐蚀、自然灾害或人为破坏等因素引发事故发生爆炸的可能.对深泓区穿黄隧洞地下部分在天然气爆炸冲击波作用下的安全性进行动力分析计算,认为西气东输管道破裂引起的天然气爆炸,不会对南水北调输水隧洞产生破坏影响.     

南海东部油田高产稳产开发实践

南海东部海域是中国海洋石油总公司对外合作勘探、开发的主要海域之一 ,自 1990年以来 ,该海域已有 12个油田相继投入开发 ,其中包括 11个砂岩油田和一个礁灰岩油田。在开发初期 ,这些油田多数被评价为边际油田 ,通过中外双方近 10年的共同努力 ,在开展不同阶段精细油田地质和油藏工程研究的基础上 ,结合该海域油田地质及开发特征 ,采用目前世界上先进的开发技术和开采工艺 ,取得了良好的开发效果和经济效益 ,并积累了一套具有海上油田特点的开发经验和作法 ,在油藏工程和油藏管理方面也取得了较大成功。文中通过展示南海东部油田地质及开发特征、开发现状和开发效果 ,剖析了油田开发技术 ,总结了油田开发经验 ,介绍了油田开发形势以及开发潜力     

Comparing Homeowner Societies: Can we Construct an East-West Model?

Distinguishable patterns of mass homeownership have emerged across industrialised societies in recent decades, and have become increasingly central in comparative analyses of housing systems. This paper examines the nature of differences and similarities within and between two particular groups of societies where owner occupation dominates housing demand and policy systems, one constituted of English-speaking, Anglo-Saxon societies, and another of East Asian societies. The paper considers the potential of forming loose models based on core divergences in terms of systems, regimes and socio-ideological relationships. The aim is to further illustrate interactions between housing systems and welfare regimes in international contexts. Comparisons of housing and welfare elements are broadly related between societies, rather than quantitatively isolated, as systems are substantially variegated across the East Asian region. However, a loose system-model provides considerable insight into convergence within the group in regards to how housing systems have served a minimal social-welfare regime type.     

Identification of critical erosion prone areas in the small agricultural watershed using USLE,GIS and remote sensing

In the present study, Karso watershed of Hazaribagh, Jharkhand State, India was divided into 200 × 200 grid cells and average annual sediment yields were estimated for each grid cell of the watershed to identify the critical erosion prone areas of watershed for prioritization purpose. Average annual sediment yield data on grid basis was estimated using Universal Soil Loss Equation (USLE). In general, a major limitation in the use of hydrological models has been their inability to handle the large amounts of input data that describe the heterogeneity of the natural system. Remote sensing (RS) technology provides the vital spatial and temporal information on some of these parameters. A recent and emerging technology represented by Geographic Information System (GIS) was used as the tool to generate, manipulate and spatially organize disparate data for sediment yield modeling. Thus, the Arc Info 7.2 GIS software and RS (ERDAS IMAGINE 8.4 image processing software) provided spatial input data to the erosion model, while the USLE was used to predict the spatial distribution of the sediment yield on grid basis. The deviation of estimated sediment yield from the observed values in the range of 1.37 to 13.85 percent indicates accurate estimation of sediment yield from the watershed.     

Decision Support System for Stakeholder Involvement

Stakeholder involvement is essential to the development of a total maximum daily load (TMDL) and its implementation plan. A tool, beyond a simulation model, is needed to support the decision making process that requires negotiation and compromise among stakeholders. The decision support system (DSS) described herein has a TMDL module to calculate various combinations of point and nonpoint loads that can meet the water quality criteria. Its Consensus module allows stakeholders to formulate, evaluate, modify, and vote for alternatives. The DSS displays bar charts for pollution loads from various subwatersheds and attributes the nonpoint loads to land uses. The water quality consequence of the pollution loads is output in maps, which shows sections meeting criteria in green and those not in red. The DSS requires a front end effort of site specific adaptation and model calibration. An Internet-based stakeholder process was developed to allow more concerned citizens to participate in management decisions.     

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本文采用流动模拟实验方法,以渗透率损害率为评价气层损害的定量标准,对以川东石炭系为主的完井液损害程度及滤失深度进行了试验研究,并对地层损害进行了预测。     

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中国重庆川东地区是四川盆地天然气的主要储产地区，对川气东输工程具有举足轻重的影响，但由于勘探难度增大，使储量增长速度明显放慢，储采比快速下降，若元新的发现，将无法保证长期高产稳产。章针对该地区天然气储量资源的结构及现状，分析了二叠系、三叠系动勘探开发的潜力，认为在该区实施二叠系、三叠系滚动勘探开发是一项投资省、见效快的工作，指出重庆气矿近斯的发展方向应针对二叠系、三叠系实施滚动勘探开发。章还提出了相应的技术保障措施和近期工作的初步设想，优选了近期工作目标。     

地震属性神经网络油气模式识别技术及其在东海的应用

神经网络油气模式识别技术是综合利用地震属性进行油气预测的技术之一 ,它首先通过计算获得多种地震属性 ,综合分析找出对储层油气比较敏感的地震属性组合 ;然后收集油气井与非油气井的井旁道地震属性 ,组成学习样本并进行神经网络学习 ;最后利用学习结果对储层进行油气预测。该技术在东海某工区的应用结果表明 ,振幅统计类和复数道统计类地震属性是对该地区储层油气最敏感的地震属性组合。神经网络油气模式识别技术可以作为东海地区储层油气预测的一种手段。