Evaluating trustworthiness from past performances: interval-based approaches

In many multi-agent systems, especially in the field of e-commerce, the users have to decide whether they sufficiently trust an agent to achieve a certain goal. To help users to make such decisions, an increasing number of trust systems have been developed. By trust system, we mean a system that gathers information about an agent and evaluates its trustworthiness on the basis of this information. The aim of the present paper is to develop, and analyze from an axiomatic point of view, new trust systems based on intervals. More precisely, we assume that a set of grades describing the past performances of an agent is given. Then, the goal is to construct an interval that summarizes these grades. In our opinion, such an interval gives a good account of the trustworthiness of the agent. In addition, this kind of representation format overcomes certain limitations (at a certain cost) of the approaches that represent trustworthiness by a single number. We establish seven axioms that should be satisfied by a summarizing method. Next, we develop two new methods. The first one is based on the idea that certain concentrations of grades are strong enough to pull the bounds of the summarizing interval towards themselves. The second one represents data in the setting of possibility theory, and then computes lower and upper expected values. Finally, we check that our methods satisfy the axioms introduced before, which provide theoretical justifications for them.     

The Brazilian experience of rural electrification in the Amazon with decentralized generation - The need to change the paradigm from electrification to development

There are at least 607 thousand households in the Brazilian Amazon that need to be attended with some form of regular electricity service. These households are not attended by the electricity sector through its electricity distribution companies and most of them have some form of precarious decentralized electricity generation that is not registered or regulated in the institutional framework. Diverse initiatives were taken by Brazilian government to attend these household through alternatives that relied on locally available renewable energy. This paper accesses this initiatives of rural electrification in the Brazilian Amazon. First an overview of the problems of rural electricity are discussed and its specificities in the Brazilian Amazon. Then the Brazilian institutional framework that organizes the decentralized electricity generation is described with its various limitations. The diverse initiatives undertaken to attend the rural communities in the Amazon since the 1990s are described, as well as how these initiatives are linked to the policies for rural electrification. The results shows that it can be inferred that sole market mechanisms are not sufficient to guarantee economic sustainability of these projects. This can be one of the reasons why traditional electricity distribution companies showed the lack of interest in promoting rural electrification with other means than grid extension. The most successful projects had financed efforts to integrate the generation of electricity into local development initiatives in order to guarantee sustainability and used substantial part of funding for local mobilization and organization. It needs a paradigm chance by treating these initiatives as local development initiatives and promoting alternative ways for its implementation through partnership between local new actors in the electricity sector and government and implementing policy on a local municipal level.     

Intermolecular versus Intramolecular Palladium‐Catalyzed Direct Arylations between 1‐(2‐Bromobenzyl)imidazoles and Aryl Bromides

Herein, we report on the sequential palladium‐catalyzed intermolecular followed by intramolecular direct arylations of 1‐(2‐bromobenzyl)imidazoles. We found that, in the presence of 1 mol% palladium acetate and potassium acetate as base, the intermolecular reaction between 1‐(2‐bromobenzyl)imidazole derivatives and electron‐deficient aryl bromides proceeded faster than the intramolecular reaction, allowing us to prepare medium‐size polycyclic imidazoles after a second Pd‐catalyzed intramolecular arylation. These iterative direct arylations allowed the synthesis of fused nitrogen‐containing heterocycles with a 5‐ or 7‐membered‐ring in only two steps. Some reactions have also been performed as a one‐pot procedure using 2 mol% of palladium acetate in the presence of a larger amount of base (3 equiv.).

     

Dietary supplement for energy and reduced appetite containing the β-agonist isopropyloctopamine leads to heart problems and hospitalisations

In 2013 the Dutch authorities issued a warning against a dietary supplement that was linked to 11 reported adverse reactions, including heart problems and in one case even a cardiac arrest. In the UK a 20-year-old woman, said to have overdosed on this supplement, died. Since according to the label the product was a herbal mixture, initial LC-MS/MS analysis focused on the detection of plant toxins. Yohimbe alkaloids, which are not allowed to be present in herbal preparations according to Dutch legislation, were found at relatively high levels (400–900 mg kg^–1). However, their presence did not explain the adverse health effects reported. Based on these effects the supplement was screened for the presence of a β-agonist, using three different biosensor assays, i.e. the validated competitive radioligand β2-adrenergic receptor binding assay, a validated β-agonists ELISA and a newly developed multiplex microsphere (bead)-based β-agonist assay with imaging detection (MAGPIX^®). The high responses obtained in these three biosensors suggested strongly the presence of a β-agonist. Inspection of the label indicated the presence of N-isopropyloctopamine. A pure standard of this compound was bought and shown to have a strong activity in the three biosensor assays. Analysis by LC-full-scan high-resolution MS confirmed the presence of this ‘unknown known’ β3-agonist N-isopropyloctopamine, reported to lead to heart problems at high doses. A confirmatory quantitative analysis revealed that one dose of the preparation resulted in an intake of 40–60 mg, which is within the therapeutic range of this compound. The case shows the strength of combining bioassays with chemical analytical techniques for identification of illegal pharmacologically active substances in food supplements.     

Modeling and simulation of asymmetrical three-roll bending process

Asymmetrical three-roll bending is one of the three-roll bending processes widely used in metal forming due to its simple configuration. Modeling and simulation of the process based on finite element analyses has great interests to industrial practices. This paper deals with the prediction of the position of the lateral roll during cylindrical roll bending. In the numerical model, the rolls are assumed to be rigid bodies and the plate is assumed to be made of elasto-plastic material, with a bilinear material model corresponding to the results from tensile tests. Shell elements are applied to the plate and automatic node-to-surface contacts are selected for the interfaces between the plate and the rolls. The nonlinear equations are resolved by fully integrated Belytschko–Tsay shell formulation under the well-known ANSYS/LS-DYNA environment with explicit time integration. The positions of the lateral roll predicted by the numerical simulations agree well with experiments.     

Geopolymers from Algerian metakaolin. Influence of secondary minerals

The influence of secondary phases (illite, quartz) on the geopolymerization reaction of metakaolin has been investigated by comparing two metakaolins, one prepared from a pure kaolinite and the other from illite- and quartz-containing Algerian kaolin from the Tamazert region, respectively. Geopolymerization was achieved by mixing the metakaolins with an alkaline sodium silicate solution at room temperature and curing at 50 °C. The products were characterized by X-ray diffraction and ²⁹Si and ²⁷Al MAS-NMR. The results show that the secondary phases, at the concentration used in this work, do not prevent the geopolymerization reaction.