A Flood Forecasting Model that Considers the Impact of Hydraulic Projects by the Simulations of the Aggregate reservoir’s Retaining and Discharging

The hydraulic projects, such as reservoirs, ponds, and paddy fields, have a marked influence on the generation of floods, causing a number of difficulties where hydrological forecasting is concerned. To consider the influence of the hydraulic projects in hydrological forecasting, a modified TOPMODEL is presented in the paper, based on the simulation rules of the aggregate reservoir’s retaining and discharging (ARRD). In the new purposed model, termed as ARRD-TOPMODEL, the hydraulic projects are first aggregated as an equivalent reservoir, then the simulation rules of the aggregate reservoir’s retaining and discharging are determined, finally, the simulation rules are combined with an original TOPMODEL model calibrated using the floods not influenced by the hydraulic projects for flood forecasting. The ARRD-TOPMODEL was tested on the upstream of Wudaogou station basin in Northeast China. The results show that compared to the original model, the qualified rate (i.e., the ratio of the number of floods that meet acceptable criteria and the total number of floods) of runoff forecasting was increased from 73% to 100%. The problems that the overestimation of the runoff at beginning of flood season and after a long drought, as well as that the underestimation of the large flood in middle flood season are both solved, and the flood processes predicted by the new model are more consistent with the observed ones. All of these demonstrate that the newly developed model is superior to the original one and the simulation rules of the aggregate reservoir’s retaining and discharging are capable of accurately accounting for the influence of the hydraulic projects on the floods.     

茂金属乙烯/苯乙烯假无规共聚物(ESI)的研究进展

乙烯／苯乙烯假无规共聚物（ESI）是一类新型的茂金属聚合物，通常苯乙烯质量分数可达80％，随苯乙烯的质量分数增加，ESI由半晶态的弹性体材料过渡到非晶态的热塑性塑料，笔者综述了近年来国外茂金属乙烯－苯乙烯假无规共聚物（ESI）研究与开发的新进展，重点介绍了ESI的物理性能，合成工艺，共混性能，填充性能，膜塑性能及发泡性能，并论述了ESI的应用现状和发展趋势。     

吡啶气相光氯化合成2-氯吡啶工艺优化

采用吡啶为原料、水为稀释剂,在常压下进行吡啶气相光氯化合成2-氯吡啶,考察了不同波长的光源、反应温度、原料配比、空时等对吡啶转化率和2-氯吡啶收率的影响.实验发现,用蓝光作为光源比采用紫外光效果更好,得到的最佳反应条件为反应温度170 ℃～180 ℃,n(Cl2)n(C6H5N)为(1.5～2)∶1,空时100S,吡啶的转化率可达70%以上,2-氯吡啶的选择性在95%左右.     

原子转移自由基聚合研究进展

综述了原子转移自由基聚合的研究进展。     

嗜单宁管囊酵母木糖酒精发酵的研究

综合利用丰富、廉价且可再生的农作物秸秆资源生产酒精的研究已经渐渐成为全球范围的热点之一。文章研究了嗜单宁管囊酵母木糖酒精发酵的发酵性能,分离、筛选、驯化培养出一株高效木糖酒精发酵菌株 g-13,在最适条件下其木糖酒精发酵的转化率为 0.446 g/g(酒精/消耗的糖),为发酵秸秆纤维水解液中的戊糖生产燃料酒精提供菌种支持。     

安徽省农业旱灾脆弱性综合分析与评价

旱灾是影响安徽省农业特别是粮食生产可持续发展的重要制约因素。在相同致灾强度下,灾情会随灾害脆弱性的增强而加重,因此,研究农业旱灾脆弱性对安徽省防灾减灾和农业可持续发展具有特别重要意义。根据影响旱灾脆弱性的因素和指标体系选取的原则,选择了旱灾面积比、森林覆盖率、农村人均收入等9个指标,采用加权综合评价方法对各市旱灾脆弱性进行分析,并利用聚类分析方法进行旱灾脆弱性区划。结果表明,除合肥市、阜阳市、池州市、宿州市和黄山市5个市需要采取措施降低旱灾脆弱度外,安徽省总体上农业旱灾脆弱性较弱,有较强的抗旱承灾能力。     

低能耗高保坍型聚羧酸系减水剂的合成及性能

合成工艺的低能耗是减水剂绿色制备的一个重要发展方向,研制高保坍型聚羧酸系减水剂解决现代混凝土施工中面临的坍落度损失控制难题具有重要实践意义。采用复合氧化-还原体系,在20 ℃条件下,以异戊烯醇聚氧乙烯醚、丙烯酸丁酯、丙烯酸羟乙酯和丙烯酸为共聚单体,一步法合成了高保坍型聚羧酸系减水剂。通过单因素试验和正交试验研究了丙烯酸丁酯、丙烯酸羟乙酯、链转移剂、还原剂、氧化剂用量对聚合物分散性和保坍性的影响规律,得到了最佳合成工艺为:丙烯酸丁酯与丙烯酸羟乙酯等摩尔取代丙烯酸的用量为30%,链转移剂用量为0.25%,还原剂用量为0.22%,氧化剂用量为0.30%(占聚醚大单体质量),反应时间为4 h。与国外同类产品相比,按最佳合成工艺参数制备的保坍剂具有显著的小坍度保持能力和较低的掺量敏感性,特别适用于小坍落度高保坍要求的混凝土施工。     

乙酸乙烯合成用废催化剂提锌机理研究

选择微波辐射预处理废催化剂,可以显著提高锌的浸出率。采用X射线衍射(XRD)和扫描电子显微镜(SEM)对微波辐射预处理前后和浸出前后的物相及废催化剂形貌进行了表征。废催化剂原料以乙酸锌和活性炭为主。经过微波辐射预处理后,发生了物相变化,废催化剂中以碳和氧化锌为主要物相,并且活性炭孔道打开,氧化锌吸附于废催化剂表面和孔道中,大大提高了与浸出剂的接触面积。浸出后,废催化剂中以碳为主要物相,实现了氧化锌与碳的有效分离。     

Maximum principle for mean-field jump–diffusion stochastic delay differential equations and its application to finance

This paper investigates a stochastic optimal control problem with delay and of mean-field type, where the controlled state process is governed by a mean-field jump–diffusion stochastic delay differential equation. Two sufficient maximum principles and one necessary maximum principle are established for the underlying system. As an application, a bicriteria mean–variance portfolio selection problem with delay is studied to demonstrate the effectiveness and potential of the proposed techniques. Under certain conditions, explicit expressions are provided for the efficient portfolio and the efficient frontier, which are as elegant as those in the classical mean–variance problem without delays.     

三相流化床的流体力学特性研究

利用空气、水和玻璃珠颗粒为工作介质,对三相流化床流态化操作的流体力学特性进行了研究,主要研究了气体速度、液体速度、颗粒投加量与气含率的关系,以及气体速度与床层高度及气泡直径的关系。