Identification of relationship between sunspots and natural runoff in the Yellow River based on discrete wavelet analysis

Annual natural runoff is an important index of a river, which may be affected by solar activities. In this study, 304 years of annual natural runoff at the Sanmenxia station located in the Yellow River and the sunspot relative number are decomposed with the application of a Complex Morlet. According to the results of real part, modulus and second power of modulus, the annual runoff series at the Sanmenxia station has an obvious periodic oscillation on 90–100, 50–80, 35–50, 15–35, about 10, and less than 10-year scales. Also, there are obvious periodic variability with 60–90 years, 30–50 years and about 10 years. There are two centers of energy: one is about 1840–1850 on 7–11-year scale and the other is about 1825–1925 on 60–70-year scale. From the wavelet variance, 3, 26, 46, 68 year periods are detected within a 100-year scale, and the 68-year period is the most significant. Similar analyses are conducted for the sunspot relative number within the same period 1700–2003. The sunspot series shows 11- and 60-year period variation, as well as eight energy centers. Then, the correlation analyses for 11- and 60-year serial scales are computed. From a long-term period (1700–2003) view, there is no notable correlation between the natural runoff and the sunspot relative number; however, it is evident that the correlations exist within a short-term period. The results also indicate that the relationships between solar activities and the natural runoff in the Yellow River are complicated.     

进口流速对丁坝回流长度影响的数值模拟研究

运用计算流体力学（CFD）方法,对宽浅河道中非淹没丁坝的流场进行二维数值模拟研究。模拟结果显示RNGk-s模型能够较好地描述出丁坝下游实际回流特征的产生,扩散及消失过程,能够较好地模拟丁坝下游的回流尺度。最后采用此模型模拟不同进口流速在相同条件下的流场结构,通过量纲分析与数值模拟结果的比较分析得到进口流速对回流尺度影响的关系式。进口流速越大,回流边线越长越宽。研究结果对丁坝的设计与施工,具有一定的参考意义。     

不良行为在团队网络中传播的动力学仿真及实例分析

针对不良行为传播过程难以分析的问题,提出一种基于复杂网络理论和系统动力学的模拟演化方法.该方法将团队映射为复杂网络,建立具有易染态、不良态、改良态、移除态、离职态的SBIRD模型,并结合权值度和簇系数对模型中的传播率、消除率、改良率等参数以及系统初始值加以实例分析.实例仿真表明:该方法能够有效地对不良行为传播过程进行分析,并辅助企业对团队中不良行为实施管理与控制.     

Simulation algorithm for spiral case structure in hydropower station

In this study, the damage-plasticity model for concrete that was verified by the model experiment was used to calculate the damage to a spiral case structure based on the damage mechanics theory. The concrete structure surrounding the spiral case was simulated with a three-dimensional finite element model. Then, the distribution and evolution of the structural damage were studied. Based on investigation of the change of gap openings between the steel liner and concrete structure, the impact of the non-uniform variation of gaps on the load-bearing ratio between the steel liner and concrete structure was analyzed. The comparison of calculated results of the simplified and simulation algorithms shows that the simulation algorithm is a feasible option for the calculation of spiral case structures. In addition, the shell-spring model was introduced for optimization analysis, and the results were reasonable.     

多级串联明渠调水工程多目标水位预测控制模型研究

针对传统的明渠水位预测控制模型无法考虑闸门调控次数限制的问题,本文在以往的预测控制目标中加入了流量调整惩罚量,构造了多目标渠池水位预测控制模型;并采用带有精英排序策略的遗传算法来进行复杂优化问题的求解。将此模型应用于南水北调中线干线工程最后6级渠池的虚拟仿真模型中对模型可靠性进行分析,结果表明在两种测试工况中,本文的多目标预测控制模型相比于传统预测控制模型,能在保持相似的水位控制效果同时使得闸控次数降低43%和52%;而且采用遗传算法求解能考虑闸门死区带来的流量最小变幅约束问题,在需要提前进行流量微调的情况下生成更加合理的调控方案。本文结果也表明,基于水位状态预测模型构造多目标预测控制模型,并采用启发式算法进行优化问题求解,这一思路具有一定可行性。     

梯级水库发电优化调度的改进粒子群算法应用研究

本文针对粒子群算法在求解高维、复杂的梯级水库发电优化调度时后期种群缺乏多样性、收敛于局部最优解的缺陷,结合梯级水库发电优化调度的特点,提出了应用差分演化算法改进粒子群的混合优化算法。通过实际算例验证了该混合方法的合理性和可靠性,从而为高维、复杂梯级水库发电优化调度模型求解提供了一种新的途径。     

领域知识语义距离及其在专家系统中的应用

面向专家系统中的可程序化知识间距离的测度,在构造领域知识本体及本体树的基础上,建立知识身份距离、知识概念距离、知识属性距离、知识描述距离四个测度,并在规范化后采用有序加权几何算子对其加以集结,形成一个更加全面且应用性强的领域知识语义距离模型,有效地解决了专家系统中领域知识的判别问题。实验表明：该模型可快速地判别专家系统中两领域知识的相似程度,并具有82%以上的评判正确率。     

Heating and cooling of a hospital using solar energy coupled with seasonal thermal energy storage in an aquifer

A system is being designed, using solar energy in combination with Aquifer Thermal Energy Storage (ATES), that will conserve a major part of the oil and electricity used for heating or cooling the Cukurova University, Balcali Hospital in Adana, Turkey. The general objective of the system is to provide heating and cooling to the hospital by storing solar heat underground in summer and cold in winter. As the main source of cold energy, ventilation air at the hospital and surface water from the nearby Seyhan Lake will be used.     

沥青混凝土心墙堆石坝有限元数值分析

基于邓肯-张E-B材料本构模型,采用大型通用有限元软件ADNIA,对某沥青混凝土堆石坝进行了应力变形有限元计算,以便研究其应力应变特性.并在计算结果的基础上对沥青混凝土心墙的邓肯-张材料模型参数杨式模量、凝聚力、体积模量等进行了敏感性分析.坝体有限元计算结果表明:坝体上、下游坝坡附近小范围内出现拉应力;坝体应力在心墙附近有突变,出现了拱效应;各参数的变化对心墙的应力应变影响程度不一,其中杨式模量K、杨式模量指数n属于高敏感性参数,而体积模量指数m为低敏感性参数.为确保大坝安全,在上、下游坝坡采取必要的护坡措施,同时在大坝填筑施工时应适当提高上、下游坝坡附近坝体的压实标准;为保证心墙的稳定安全,适当调整沥青混凝土的配合比,并根据试验计算调整心墙的变形模量,使之和过渡料的模量协调一致,尽量减小沉降差异带来的不利影响.     

西安市供用水现状及水资源供需平衡分析

水资源条件是城市经济社会发展和生态环境建设的重要保障和前提。西安是一个资源性缺水城市,多年平均水资源总量为23．49亿m2,目前正在全面建设具有历史文化特色的国际化大都市。本文分析了西安市现状年的用水现状及供水能力,并结合城市需水预测、水源工程规划及可供水量预测,计算出2015、2020、2030年的水资源平衡结果,并提出了保障水资源供需平衡的相关措施。研究对于西安市经济社会发展和水资源高效利用、保护有指导意义和实践价值。