免化学试剂-离子色谱法测定小麦粉中溴酸钾的不确定度评定

利用离子色谱法测定了小麦粉中溴酸盐,对溴酸盐测量不确定度的来源进行了分析和量化评定.实验测得:当小麦粉中的溴酸盐含量为0.42mg·kg-1时,扩展不确定度为0.08mg·kg-1(k=2).     

Method to Characterize the Air Flow and Water Removal Characteristics During Vacuum Dewatering. Part II—Analysis and Characterization

This is part II of a study reported earlier on a method to characterize the air flow and water removal characteristics during vacuum dewatering. This article presents experimental data and analysis of results from the use of a cyclically actuated vacuum dewatering device for removing moisture from wetted porous materials such as paper with the intermittent application of vacuum and accompanying air flow though the material. Results presented include sheet moisture content as a function of residence time and hence water removal rate under a variety of process conditions. Also, experimental results on air flow through the wet porous structure and hence the role and importance of air flow during vacuum dewatering are presented. Vacuum dewatering process conditions include exit solids content between 11 and 20% solid under applied vacuum conditions of 13.5 to 67.7 kPa (4 to 20 in. Hg). Regression analysis indicated that the exit sheet moisture content exhibited a nonlinear relationship with residence time with exit solids reaching a plateau after a certain residence time. Final moisture content correlated linearly with the average overall flow rate of air through the paper sample and the basis weight of the material.     

基于多随机变量风险约束的水电站长期优化调度

针对市场环境下水电站如何综合考虑电价和来水等不确定性因素下的优化调度是当前研究的热点和难点,建立了考虑电价和来水等不确定性因素的风险约束水电站长期优化调度模型。根据此模型发电商可方便地在预期的目标收益和风险之间进行权衡,达到以较小的风险获得较大的收益的目的。以二滩电厂实算为例,表明了该模型的有效性。     

基于随机分析和概率预测的固定式海洋平台结构风险评估研究

对极端海况进行了环境荷载的联合概率分析。引入了整体不确定性和敏感性分析理论,利用非正态过程、具有不同相关性的多变量随机模拟技术,求解结构的失效概率。提出结构失效分析的新方法,并利用DNV提供的历史数据,对结构失效的后果做了适当分析。以埕北12-C井组平台为实例,对平台甲板高程(Air Gap)失效分析进行了实例计算。结果表明,使用多维联合极值分布理论及相应的求解方法,是离岸工程结构物风险评估的重要手段。     

Temperament in Childhood Predicts Body Mass in Adulthood: The Cardiovascular Risk in Young Finns Study.

This study examined associations of temperament at ages 6 to 12 with body-mass index (BMI) and waist circumference (WC) at ages 24 to 30 years. The participants were 619 men and women derived from the population-based Cardiovascular Risk in Young Finns Study. Temperament was operationalized as (negative) emotionality, sociability, and activity. High emotionality predicted increased BMI, independently of WC, and independently of childhood and adulthood risk factors for adult obesity. None of the temperament dimensions had any associations with WC after controlling for BMI. The findings suggest that temperamental difficulty in childhood may be a useful risk indicator for general body mass in adulthood, and the mechanisms relating temperament with body mass should be further explored. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2010 APA, all rights reserved)     

大坝洪水漫顶风险评估

洪水漫顶是导致大坝溃坝的主要原因之一,大坝洪水漫顶风险评估是大坝风险评估的重要组成部分。为此,简要介绍了大坝洪水漫顶的风险模型,并通过实例详细地讨论了模型中各有关参数的不确定性处理方法,探讨了入库洪水的不确定性对洪水漫顶风险率的影响以及按规范设计的大坝的防洪能力问题。     

薄膜润滑研究的回顾与展望

薄膜润滑是20世纪90年代以来广泛研究的新型润滑状态。它是界于弹流润滑和边界润滑之间的一种过渡润滑状态，有着自己独特的润滑规律。文章回顾了薄膜润滑的研究历史，包括薄膜润滑概念的提出、测试技术的发展、薄膜润滑的膜厚特性、润滑机理探索以及计算理论等方面的研究成果与主要进展。     

国有公路运输企业改革创效的现实选择

通过对公路运输企业经营实践的考察 ,介绍了国有公路运输企业改革创效的一些现实选择 ,以供运输公司经营借鉴 ,从而摆脱困境 ,取得良好业绩     

含缺陷压力管系断裂失效风险分析系统（Ⅲ）——在检修和维护中的应用

针对石油工业管道上可能存在的各种缺陷类型 ,充分考虑缺陷尺寸、工况载荷、断裂韧度和机械强度等参数的不确定性 ,应用含缺陷压力管系断裂失效风险分析系统软件 (SAPP - 2 0 0 2 )计算管道系统中每个独立缺陷的安全概率 ,并对整个管道系统进行断裂失效风险分析。另外 ,在制定管道的检修计划时 ,可以利用该系统的结构应力分析模块方便地确定出管道应力高度集中部位 ,有针对性地选择焊缝并进行射线探伤 ,使管道的安全状况分析更准确。还可以利用该系统软件的分析结果制定出旨在降低失效风险的管道结构改进措施 ,达到缓解应力集中或使应力集中区与缺陷所在位置分离 ,优化管道结构 ,以较低成本提高管道完整性水平的目的。对提高企业压力管道管理水平具有推动作用     

A framework to integrate software behavior into dynamic probabilistic risk assessment

Software plays an increasingly important role in modern safety-critical systems. Although, research has been done to integrate software into the classical probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) framework, current PRA practice overwhelmingly neglects the contribution of software to system risk. Dynamic probabilistic risk assessment (DPRA) is considered to be the next generation of PRA techniques. DPRA is a set of methods and techniques in which simulation models that represent the behavior of the elements of a system are exercised in order to identify risks and vulnerabilities of the system. The fact remains, however, that modeling software for use in the DPRA framework is also quite complex and very little has been done to address the question directly and comprehensively. This paper develops a methodology to integrate software contributions in the DPRA environment. The framework includes a software representation, and an approach to incorporate the software representation into the DPRA environment SimPRA. The software representation is based on multi-level objects and the paper also proposes a framework to simulate the multi-level objects in the simulation-based DPRA environment. This is a new methodology to address the state explosion problem in the DPRA environment. This study is the first systematic effort to integrate software risk contributions into DPRA environments.