Developing Cost Response Models for Company-Level Cost Flow Forecasting of Project-Based Corporations

The difficulty in applying the standard curve (S-curve) and cost-schedule integration (CSI) techniques for company-level cost flow forecasting in a project-based industry is the prerequisite of forecasting future unknown individual projects and contract classifications. By analyzing cost flows at the company level through a pool of macroeconomic and internal financial data, this paper proposes an innovative approach to firm-specific model estimation. First, a series of data transformations introduce linear relationships between cost, macroeconomic, and internal financial variables. Second, multivariate regression analysis is employed for initial model building. Third, for the purposes of model restructuring, a subsequent application of Yule–Walker estimates and incomplete principal component analysis is used. This paper uses a sample of four project-based construction firms to demonstrate model performance. Using this methodology, mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) values of the forecasting models range from 0.27 to 0.60%. As such, the transformed cost, macroeconomic, internal financial data could strongly predict company-level cost flow forecasting. While converting the predicted cumulative cost data to periodic cost flows, the MAPE values were augmented, ranging from 7.04 to 17.55%, thus, requiring future research.     

Express Method for Estimation of Tensile Strength and Crack Resistance of Brittle Media

The procedure is proposed for estimating the crack resistance and tensile strength of rocks by the results of experiments on disk samples with holes. The gradient approach to the strength problem is employed in processing the experimental data.     

一种新型陶瓷材料及其耐磨性

对新型Ａｌ２Ｏ３－ＴｉＣ－Ｃｏ陶瓷的磨粒磨损，冲蚀磨损及其在单颗粒作用下的摩擦磨损行为进行了研究。与ＡＴ３０（７０ｗｔ％Ａｌ２Ｏ３－３０ｗｔ％ＴｉＣ）陶瓷相比，Ａｌ２Ｏ３－ＴｉＣ－Ｃｏ陶瓷具有更为良好的耐磨性，金属钴的存在提高了基体的韧性，细化了晶粒，其综合力学性能得到了显著提高，ＡＴＣ陶瓷样品耐磨性与其强韧化水平和细致的组织结构有关。     

两相邻边固定另两边任意支承矩形厚板问题

在Ｒｅｉｓｓｎｅｒ厚板理论中，利用分离变量法得到挠度函数Ｗ（ｘ，ｙ）和应力函数ψ（ｘ，ｙ）的解。在这些解中．选择一些三角级数和多项式作为该问题的挠度函数Ｗ（ｘ，ｙ）和应力函数ψ（ｘ，ｙ），从而得到了两相邻边固定另两边任意支承矩形厚板弯曲问题的精确解．这里不需要繁琐地叠加．     

A neural network model for fault detection in conjunction with a programmable logic controller

This paper discusses the feasibility of using neural networks as a tool in the fault detection process. A neural network is integrated with a state language programmable logic controller, an important device in an automatic control system. Time series data related to time spent in a state is gathered and used as input into a neural network, for the purpose of identifying when a fault has occurred. A feedforward neural network is used to identify which (if any) of three types of faults may have occurred. Experimental results related to sensitivity and accuracy measures are presented. A brief review of related applications and research is also presented.     

Nonlinear electrical transport in K-TCNQ at low temperatures

A remarkable nonlinearity has been observed for electric transport in K-TCNQ (potassium tetracyanoquinodimethane) quasi-one-dimensional conductor. The negative differential resistance region appears afterV _m (turn over voltage), beyond which voltage goes down with increase of current. A possible mechanism is discussed in terms of dynamics of charged solitons and domain walls in one-dimensional molecular stacks of these types of crystals.     

TiAl基合金表面改性对高温抗氧化性的影响

研究了渗碳处理ＴｉＡｌ基合金试样的高温氧化行为，发现渗碳处理可以在ＴｉＡｌ基合金试样表层形成致密的多层结构的渗碳层，并发生表层Ａｌ、Ｔｉ重新分配。致密的渗碳层具有良好的高温抗氧化性和高温热稳定性，同时，Ｔｉ、Ａｌ重新分配形成的富Ａｌ最外层也能进一步提高合金的抗氧化性。     

AHMED experiments on hygroscopic and inert aerosol behaviour in LWR containment conditions: experimental results

Hygroscopic NaOH, CsI, CsOH and inert Ag aerosol behaviour at different temperatures and relative humidities (RH) has been studied in a well instrumented and controlled vessel of 1.81 m³ total free volume. Homogeneous thermal-hydraulic conditions for aerosol measurement in the vessel were achieved. The aerosol number and mass concentration were measured continuously during the experiments using a Condensation Nucleus Counter and a Tapered Element Oscillating Microbalance. The particle size distribution and chemical composition in the test conditions were measured by Berner low pressure impactors. In the case of NaOH the half life of the aerosol mass concentration was more than four times longer at low RH (22%) as compared to high RH (96%). The half lives of the CsOH and CsI aerosols were only twice as long at low RH as compared to high RH. Thus at high RH (96–97%) the half lives of CsOH and CsI were twice as long as the half life for the NaOH aerosol. The faster decay of the NaOH aerosol is due to the smaller density decrease of NaOH during water condensation. CsOH particles grew rapidly to their equilibrium size at all humidities. The measured equilibrium size for CsOH aerosol agree well with the calculated particle size at different RHs. Experimental results were also compared with calculations obtained by severe accident computer codes. These calculated results will be presented in a later paper.     

一种两性离子聚合物的合成性能及应用分析

本文合成了一种两性离子聚合物：丙烯酰胺—二甲基二烯丙基氯化铵—丙烯酸共聚物（ＰＡＤＡ），讨论了三种单体的投料比对产物的组成影响。对它的结构进行了红外表征，就其絮凝、粘土防膨、抗温、抗盐性能进行了研究。结果表明：ＰＡＤＡ具有好的防膨能力和良好的抗温抗盐性能，并有絮凝能力。     

Nb,Ti微合金钢热变形的动态模拟变形抗力模型

本文报道 Nb,Ti 微合金钢的热变形动态模拟变形抗力模型。在试验中用热加工模拟试验机进行高温压缩试验,其变形温度为1123—1423K,变形速率为0.1—60s~(-1)。结果表明,在峰值以前该钢种的流变应力数学模型为:σ=5.99.ε~(0.167)·(?)~(6.47×10~(-5)·T)·exp(4064/T)。形变激活能(Q)为444 kJ/mol,β系数为0.080。峰值应力(σ_p),临界应变(ε_c)和温度补偿应变速率参数(Z)之间的关系分别为:σ_p=12.56·lnZ-391.8;lnε_c=0.157·lnZ-7.39。