天然气产业链下游市场风险评价模型探讨

随着我国天然气主干管网的逐步形成，天然气产业链下游市场正在进入快速成长阶段，建立风险预警系统的重要性开始显现，而风险评价模型是其基础工作之一。文章在天然气产业链下游区域市场风险评价指标体系的基础上，综合运用层次分析法和灰色系统理论，建立了对天然气产业链下游区域市场风险评价的模型，并以各区域市场的用气量占全国总用气量的比重为权重，建立起完整的市场风险评价模型，可为评价天然气产业链下游市场整体市场风险时参考。     

隐秘通信系统的对策论模型

运用对策论方法，构造了隐秘通信系统的对策论模型，研究了信息隐藏者采用最优策略，在现有的隐秘通信技术条件下，能够更好地达到自己的预期目标。     

双贴合无光焦度校正板在主反射镜前的两镜系统的像差特性

在光学系统中特别是反射系统中经常通过加无光焦度校正板来减少或消除其他元件所产生的像差。讨论了双贴合无光焦度校正板放在主镜前的双反射球面系统，根据像差理论分析了消像差的条件，研究了系统中各种参数的变化对系统高级残余像差的影响。结果表明主镜的相对孔径越大，系统的残余像差增加；正透镜在前的校正板结构优于负透镜在前的结构；选择合适的校正板单透镜的光焦度，可使系统的高级残余像差最小。     

基于模式理论光栅椭偏参数反演的数值模拟

将一种广泛用于求解系统优化问题的方法——正单纯形法，求解光栅的椭偏方程。首先，利用求解光栅的傅立叶模式理论对TE和TM波的复反射系数进行求解。然后计算出其相应的椭偏参数(△，Ψ)，并在该值的基础上加入不同偏差的随机高斯噪声，将加入噪声后的值(△m，Ψm)作为模拟测量值。最后使用优化算法进行反演。通过对几种常用面形光栅椭偏参数的数值模拟，一方面表明傅立叶模式理论计算光栅的椭偏参数不仅精度高。而且速度快；另一方面表明利用正单纯形法得到的光栅参数值很接近于正演时假设的参数值，从而从理论上证明了利用椭偏法测量光栅各种光学参数的可行性。     

Characteristic Features of the Optimal Processing of the Results of Measurements in the Case of a Random Observation Function

An analysis is made of the characteristic features and problems of the optimal processing of the results of measurements in the case of a random observation function utilizing a nonlinear Kalman filter. A method is proposed for increasing the convergence domain of the filter with additional processing of measurements in the frequency domain.     

基于支持向量机的多类分类研究

现今流行的分类方法的重要基础是传统的统计学，前提是要有足够的样本，当样本数目有限时容易出现过学习的问题，导致分类效果不理想。引入支持向量机方法，它基于统计学习理论，采用了结构风险最小化原则代替经验风险最小化原则，较好的解决了小样本学习的问题；又由于采用了核函数思想，把非线性空间的问题转换到线性空间，降低了算法的复杂度。对其相关内容包括优化算法及多类分类问题的解决进行了研究，最后用一个实例说明了该方法的可行性和有效性。     

The Influence and Interpretation of Surface Parameters for Wetting Transitions in Ternary Mixtures

Starting from a microscopic Hamiltonian defined on a semi-infinite cubic lattice, and employing a mean-field approximation, the surface parameters relevant for wetting in confined ternary mixtures are derived. These are found in terms of the microscopic coupling constants, and yield a physical interpretation of their origins. In comparison with the standard expression for the surface free-energy density, several new terms arising from the derivation are identified. The influence of the surface parameters on a predicted unbinding transition in a mixture of oil, water, and amphiphile demonstrate that existing results are robust to the addition of the extra surface terms.     

Topology optimization of trusses using genetic algorithm,force method and graph theory

In this article size/topology optimization of trusses is performed using a genetic algorithm (GA), the force method and some concepts of graph theory. One of the main difficulties with optimization with a GA is that the parameters involved are not completely known and the number of operations needed is often quite high. Application of some concepts of the force method, together with theory of graphs, make the generation of a suitable initial population well‐matched with critical paths for the transformation of internal forces feasible. In the process of optimization generated topologically unstable trusses are identified without any matrix manipulation and highly penalized. Identifying a suitable range for the cross‐section of each member for the ground structure in the list of profiles, the length of the substrings representing the cross‐sectional design variables are reduced. Using a contraction algorithm, the length of the strings is further reduced and a GA is performed in a smaller domain of design space. The above process is accompanied by efficient methods for selection, and by using a suitable penalty function in order to reduce the number of numerical operations and to increase the speed of the optimization toward a global optimum. The efficiency of the present method is illustrated using some examples, and compared to those of previous studies. Copyright © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Requirements engineering in health care: the example of chemotherapy planning in paediatric oncology

Health care is characterized by highly complex processes of patient care that require unusual amount of communication between different health care professionals of different institutions. Sub-optimal processes can significantly impact on the patient’s health, increase the consumption of services and resources and in severe cases can lead to the patient death. For these reasons, requirements engineering for the development of information technology in health care is a complex process as well: without constant and rigorous evaluation, the impact of new systems on the quality of care is unknown and it is possible that badly designed systems significantly harm patients. To overcome these limitations, we present and discuss an approach to requirements engineering that we applied for the development of applications for chemotherapy planning in paediatric oncology. Chemotherapy planning in paediatric oncology is complex and time-consuming and errors must be avoided by all means. In the multi-hospital/multi-trial-centre environment of paediatric oncology, it is especially difficult and time-consuming to analyse requirements. Our approach combines a grounded theory approach with evolutionary prototyping based on the constant development and refinement of a generic domain model, in this case a domain model for chemotherapy planning in paediatric oncology. The prototypes were introduced in medical centres and final results show that the developed generic domain model is adequate.