Life quality index for the estimation of societal willingness-to-pay for safety

The engineering and management of human safety is an important societal objective that includes extensive efforts by governments, both legislative and administrative, to enhance the health and safety of the public. Although the achievement of safety goals depend primarily on individuals and organizations responsible for safety, much support is drawn from expertise in diverse scientific and engineering disciplines. The activities range from structural safety (dams, tunnels, bridges to tall buildings) to safe operation of hazardous industrial installations (energy generation facilities, LNG terminals, petrochemical plants) to transportation systems (airline, rail, car safety) to technologies designed to minimize adverse impacts on the environment. All these activities are crucially concerned with risk: with the likelihood and the probable effects of various measures on life and health. We have developed a unified rationale and a clear basis for effective strategic management of risk across diverse sectors. Safety is an important objective in society but it is not the only one. The allocation of society's resources devoted to safety must be continually appraised in light of competing needs, because there is a limit on the resources that can be expended to extend life. The paper presents the Life Quality Index (LQI) as a tool for the assessment of risk reduction initiatives that would support the public interest and enhance safety and quality of life. The paper provides an intuitive reformulation of the LQI as equivalent to a valid utility function that is consistent with the principles of rational decision analysis. The LQI is further refined to consider the issues of discounting of life years, competing background risks, and population age and mortality distribution. The LQI is applied to quantify the societal willingness-to-pay, which is an acceptable level of public expenditure in exchange for a reduction in the risk of death that results in improved life-quality.     

化学结构式的拓扑描述

化学结构式的拓扑描述,是化学信息计算机化的手段之一。这里系统地建立了一整套的连接表(三类:紧缩连接表、冗余连接表、和连接方阵),用来进行结构式中原子之间连接关系的拓扑描述,对分子结构进行数值化。同时,阐述了连接表唯一化的方法,并介绍了不同类型连接表之间的转换关系和还原为平面结构式图形的绘图程序。     

龙开口水电站溢流坝段动力模型破坏试验研究

采用仿真混凝土材料研究了龙开口水电站溢流坝段在不同因素影响下的动力破坏特征,并通过对6个模型试验结果的分析探讨了溢流坝段的动力破坏机理。试验中考虑了坝体-库水的动力相互作用以及横河向地震动对大坝破坏的影响,采用规范谱波和场地谱波两种地震动激励进行模型超载破坏分析。试验结果为工程设计和评价溢流坝段的抗震性能提供依据。     

决策表中加权关联规则挖掘的研究

通过对规则支持高度提出新的定义 ,对现有的模型进行了扩展 ,并由此提出了新的关联规则挖掘算法     

TRANSFER FUNCTION MODEL ORDER AND PARAMETER ESTIMATION

Abstract. A distributed lag model with a rational transfer function is considered. We have demonstrated that the C -table can be used to determine the orders of the rational transfer function and the Padé table can be used to estimate the parameters of an identifiable transfer function. In case the model is not uniquely identified, the C -table reduces possible competing models to only a few for further examination. Padé approximant gives consistent initial values for possibly more efficient iterative procedures to estimate the coefficients of the identified model. Some asymptotic results on the estimation of the C -table and the Padé table are given. A few examples are presented to demonstrate the effectiveness of the method.     

检测骨架图形特征点的新方法

端点、折点、歧点和交点是骨架图形的重要特点是，提出用快速查表法检测侯选特征点，再进行侯选特征点聚集，用局部结构分析，去除假特征点，判别真特征点的类型，并对折点给以大致的定量描述。实验结果表明，该方法能快速有效地找出骨架图形的特征点，在目标识别、字符识别等应用中起着关键作用。     

野战手术床的CAD设计

介绍在Solid Works平台上建立野战手术床(以下简称手术床)参数化实体建模的基本方法和关键技术，以及利用动画设计软件IPA进行动态模拟，节省了设计时间，提高了设计质量。     

汽车侧倾稳定性的动态仿真(一) --数学模型的建立

本文通过对独立悬架和非独立悬架侧倾运动特性的分析并结合采用已有的轮胎力学模型，建立了反映独立悬架和非独立悬架侧倾运动特性的数学模型。在此基础上，根据汽车侧倾时悬挂质量对前后悬架的力和力矩作用来组合前后悬架，我们得到了双轴汽车在稳态转向时侧倾运动的数学模型。通过组合不同的前后悬架，这个数学模型可以反映各种悬架配置的双轴汽车。它主要是针对汽车进行稳态转向时的侧倾情况，考虑了汽车的结构参数、惯性参数以及悬架、轮胎的柔性形变对汽车侧倾运动特性和抗侧翻能力的影响。它可以用来计算一定横向加速度下汽车的侧倾反应和轮胎的载荷变化，也可以用来计算一辆确定的汽车在保持侧倾稳定性的前提下所能达到的最大横向加速度，还可以用来分析各项参数对汽车侧倾稳定性的影响。     

轧后穿水冷却工艺对棒材组织性能的影响

针对轧机产量提高后冷床冷却能力不足的问题 ,研制开发了棒材轧后穿水冷却技术。通过对小规格 2 0MnSiV热轧带肋钢筋进行轧后穿水冷却 ,钢材上冷床温度降低了 90～ 110℃ ,提高了产品质量 ,改善了各项力学性能 ,抗拉强度平均提高了 3 5～ 40MPa ,钢材性能合格率由 97.5 %提高到了 99.6% ,解决了冷床冷却能力不足、制约生产的瓶颈问题。     

水管理策略对土壤水盐动态和区域地下排水影响的模拟评价

以宁夏惠农灌区平罗试验区为对象，基于田间观测与灌溉试验结果，在田间尺度采用SWAP模型开展不同地下水调控深度与灌溉制度相结合的水管理方案下土壤水盐动态的模拟，在区域尺度采用MODFLOW模型进行不同水管理方案对区域地下排水量影响的模拟评价，据此分析土壤水盐动态过程和农田排水系统的作用，对拟定的各种水管理方案进行评价。结果表明，现状灌溉用水量虽有助于减少表土盐分积聚，但地下排水量占灌溉用水量的39．4％；现状灌溉用水量减少50％时，浅埋地下水位会加重表土积盐；现状灌溉用水量减少25％时，作物根区没有产生明显的积盐，地下排水量减少31．4％。因此，较为合理的水管理方案是将现状灌水量减少25％的同时将地下水埋深控制在70cm以下，才能达到节水、增产、改善农田水土环境的目标。