基于分层模型的组合服务故障定位算法

在面向服务的架构中,服务之间的依赖关系具有单向性的特点。基于这种单向性依赖,提出了服务故障传播的分层模型并设计了服务的分层算法,将服务节点分层。根据分层模型设计了服务故障定位的监测探针和诊断部署,减少了监测探针的数目。在探针探测结果的基础上,提出了分层模型下基于贝叶斯网络的故障定位算法,该算法通过计算故障发生时服务的影响因子和可信度,快速定位故障。仿真结果验证了该算法可以较准确地定位组合服务中的故障,且保持较低的误报率。     

基于WSN的精准养牛业智能决策支持系统设计

准确及时地获取牛群的身体变化情况是保证牛群生存环境舒适度的基本前提。在对养牛业监测系统和无线传感网络深入了解的情况下,开发了以无线传感网络为基础的精准养牛业系统。按照标准生产化的要求,系统的总体架构分为感知层、传输层和应用层。并根据总体架构的层次模型设计了相应的软件和硬件。系统有效地利用贝叶斯网络智能决策支持系统建立模型,结合无线传感网络收集牛酮体的数据,进行相应的环境设置,让牛群的生存环境更加舒适。     

基于贝叶斯网络的新媒体事件分类模型

为了对新媒体事件进行准确有效分类,提出一种将K-means算法和贝叶斯网络相结合的混合算法。该算法首先运用K-means算法将训练样本聚类,再根据聚类的结果,运用改进的贝叶斯网络对新媒体事件进行分类。其中,层次贝叶斯网络模型的构建,避免了贝叶斯网络在参数学习时陷入局部寻优;同时引入隐藏节点,更大程度满足了贝叶斯网络的条件独立假设。实验结果表明该算法效果明显。     

Sliding mode control for Markov jump linear uncertain systems with partly unknown transition rates

In this paper, based on sliding mode control approach, the robust stabilisation problem for a class of continuous-time Markovian jump linear uncertain systems with partly unknown transition rates is investigated. The transition rate matrix under consideration covers completely known, boundary known and completely unknown elements. By making use of linear matrix inequalities technique, sufficient conditions are presented to derive the linear switching surface and guarantee the stochastic stability of sliding mode dynamics. Then a sliding mode control law is designed to drive the state trajectory of the closed-loop system to the specified linear switching surface in finite time in spite of the existing uncertainties and unknown transition rates. Finally, an example is given to verify the validity of the theoretical results.     

Bayesian estimation of Dirichlet mixture model with variational inference

In statistical modeling, parameter estimation is an essential and challengeable task. Estimation of the parameters in the Dirichlet mixture model (DMM) is analytically intractable, due to the integral expressions of the gamma function and its corresponding derivatives. We introduce a Bayesian estimation strategy to estimate the posterior distribution of the parameters in DMM. By assuming the gamma distribution as the prior to each parameter, we approximate both the prior and the posterior distribution of the parameters with a product of several mutually independent gamma distributions. The extended factorized approximation method is applied to introduce a single lower-bound to the variational objective function and an analytically tractable estimation solution is derived. Moreover, there is only one function that is maximized during iterations and, therefore, the convergence of the proposed algorithm is theoretically guaranteed. With synthesized data, the proposed method shows the advantages over the EM-based method and the previously proposed Bayesian estimation method. With two important multimedia signal processing applications, the good performance of the proposed Bayesian estimation method is demonstrated.     

Coordinating efficiency and equity in disaster relief logistics via information updates

This paper addresses a multi-supplier, multi-affected area, multi-relief, and multi-vehicle relief allocation problem in disaster relief logistics. A multi-objective optimisation model based on disaster scenario information updates is proposed in an attempt to coordinate efficiency and equity through timely and appropriate decisions regarding issues such as vehicle routing and relief allocation. An optimal stopping rule is also proposed to determine the optimum period of delay before responding to disaster, because decision making requires accurate disaster information. The main contribution of this paper is solving relief allocation problem in a novel way by correlating operational research with statistical decision making and Bayesian sequential analysis. Finally, a case is presented based on the post-disaster rescue in Eastern China after supertyphoon Saomai to test the applicability and show the potential advantages of the proposed model.     

Towards subject independent continuous sign language recognition: A segment and merge approach

This paper presents a segment-based probabilistic approach to robustly recognize continuous sign language sentences. The recognition strategy is based on a two-layer conditional random field (CRF) model, where the lower layer processes the component channels and provides outputs to the upper layer for sign recognition. The continuously signed sentences are first segmented, and the sub-segments are labeled SIGN or ME (movement epenthesis) by a Bayesian network (BN) which fuses the outputs of independent CRF and support vector machine (SVM) classifiers. The sub-segments labeled as ME are discarded and the remaining SIGN sub-segments are merged and recognized by the two-layer CRF classifier; for this we have proposed a new algorithm based on the semi-Markov CRF decoding scheme. With eight signers, we obtained a recall rate of 95.7% and a precision of 96.6% for unseen samples from seen signers, and a recall rate of 86.6% and a precision of 89.9% for unseen signers.     

基于k-最近邻筛选的BMA集合预报模型研究

针对冗余训练样本会降低BMA参数求解效率与精度问题,本文提出在BMA运算之前采用k-最近邻(k-nearest neighbor)算法筛选有价值训练样本,并用于BMA参数求解的改进模型。模拟试验在淮河王家坝站进行,分别以k-最近邻筛选、不筛选两种方案为BMA提供训练样本,统计分析两种方案中王家坝站流量模拟结果,评价BMA改进法的性能。模拟结果显示,采用k-最近邻样本筛选方法后,BMA模型对洪水过程以及洪峰的预报精度提升明显;概率预报结果的离散程度降低的同时,可靠性程度获得提升。k-最近邻样本筛选方法的引入,能够有效去除BMA模型训练样本中的冗余数据,以少量的样本获得更可靠的模型参数,改善集合预报性能。     

Exploring approaches to improve the performance of autonomous monitoring with imperfect data in location-aware wireless sensor networks

In recent years, information and sensing technologies have been applied to the construction industry to collect and provide rich information to facilitate decision making processes. One of the applications is using location data to support autonomous crane safety monitoring (e.g., collision avoidance and dangerous areas control). Several location-aware wireless technologies such as GPS (Global Positioning System), RFID (Radio-frequency identification), and Ultra-Wide Band sensors, have been proposed to provide location information for autonomous safety monitoring. However, previous studies indicated that imperfections (errors, uncertainty, and inconsistency) exist in the data collected from those sensors and the data imperfections have great impacts on autonomous safety monitoring system performance. This paper explores five computationally light-weight approaches to deal with the data imperfections, aiming to improve the system performance. The authors built a scaled autonomous crane safety monitoring testbed with a mounted localization system to collect location data and developed five representative test cases based on a live construction jobsite. Seven hundred and sixty location readings were collected at thirty-eight test points from the sensors. Those location data was fed into the reasoning mechanisms with five approaches to generate the safety decisions at those thirty-eight test points and evaluate system performance in terms of precision, recall and accuracy. The results indicate that system performance can be improved if at least ten position readings from sensors can be collected at small intervals at any location along the moving path. However, by including additional data such as velocity and acceleration that may be read from devices mounted on workers, localization error may be significantly reduced. These findings represent a path forward to improve localization accuracy by mixing imperfect data from the sensed environment with supplemental input.