能源互联网技术成熟度等级评估

能源互联网是实现未来可持续发展的重要建设内容之一。构建能源互联网需要众多关键技术的支撑,而技术处于不断地进化过程中,了解技术发展的现实水平,把握技术的未来需求,可以指导正确的发展路线和科学的战略决策的制定。本文旨在评估能源互联网关键技术成熟度。基于文献计量方法评估理念建立具有系统性和普适性的综合评估指标体系,并引入数据分析方法和变异系数法构建技术成熟度综合评估方法,为能源互联网的建设提供科学的指导。对能源互联网的云大物移创新应用关键技术进行算例分析,结果表明该方法能准确地判断技术的成熟度,定位技术性能。     

Accuracy of wind energy forecasts in Great Britain and prospects for improvement

The metric representing the wind energy forecast error, when reported as a percent, is calculated quite differently than the error metrics for electricity transmission, electricity load, or in other industries such as manufacturing when they are also reported as a percent. The resulting calculated metric is quite different from what would be reported if the method utilized elsewhere was employed. This paper examines the possible forecast assessment and operational challenges associated with this finding. Concerning the prospects for improvement, the errors reported in MW of energy have a systematic component. With this insight, we developed a model to improve accuracy.     

基于聚类的数据加权优化在犯罪预测中的应用

近年来，我国传统暴力犯罪与成年人犯罪呈下降态势，但是，犯罪案由层出不穷。为有效提升公安实践工作中犯罪预测能力，打击各类违法犯罪事件,本文针对犯罪数据，提出一种新型犯罪预测模型。利用密度聚类分析方法将犯罪数据分类，然后进行数据降维提取关键属性生成特征数据，继而对特征数据进行加权优化并采用机器学习的方式对特征数据进行学习，从而预测犯罪案由。实验结果表明，与传统方法相比，本文方法具有更好的预测效果，为公安实践工作中类似案件的侦破和预防，提供新的路径支撑。     

基于注意力机制与文本信息的用户关系抽取

随着社交媒体的发展,用户之间的关系网络对于社交媒体的分析有很大的帮助。因此,该文主要研究用户好友关系检测。以往的关于用户好友关系抽取的研究主要基于社交媒体上的结构化信息,比如其他好友关系,用户的不同属性等。但是,很多时候用户本身并没有大量的好友信息存在,同时也不一定有很多确定的属性。因此,我们希望基于用户发表的文本信息来对用户关系进行预测。不同于以往的潜在好友推荐算法,该文提出了一种基于注意力机制以及长短时记忆网络(long short-term memory,LSTM)的好友关系预测模型,将好友之间的评论分开处理,通过分析用户之间的评论来判断是否具备一定的好友关系。该模型将好友双方信息拼接后的结果作为输入,并将注意力机制应用于LSTM的输出。实验表明,用户之间的评论对于好友关系预测确实有较大的实际意义,该文提出的模型较之于多个基准系统的效果,取得了明显的提升。在不加入任何其它非文本特征的情况下,实验结果的准确率达到了77%。     

High-efficiency Silicon Solar Cells: A Review

Over the past few decades, crystalline silicon solar cells have been extensively studied due to their high efficiency, high reliability, and low cost. In addition, these types of cells lead the industry and account for more than half of the market. For the foreseeable future, Si will still be a critical material for photovoltaic devices in the solar cell industry. In this paper, we discuss key issues, cell concepts, and the status of recent high-efficiency crystalline silicon solar cells.     

Hydrogel photocatalysts for efficient energy conversion and environmental treatment

Photocatalysts have attracted great research interest owing to their excellent properties and potential for simultaneously addressing challenges related to energy needs and environmental pollution. Photocatalytic particles need to be in contact with their respective media to exhibit efficient photocatalytic performances. However, it is difficult to separate nanometer-sized photocatalytic materials from reaction media later, which may lead to secondary pollution and a poor recycling performance. Hydrogel photocatalysts with a three-dimensional (3D) network structures are promising support materials for photocatalysts based on features such as high specific surface areas and adsorption capacities and good environmental compatibility. In this review, hydrogel photocatalysts are classified into two different categories depending on their elemental composition and recent progresses in the methods for preparing hydrogel photocatalysts are summarized. Moreover, current applications of hydrogel photocatalysts in energy conversion and environmental remediation are reviewed. Furthermore, a comprehensive outlook and highlight future challenges in the development of hydrogel photocatalysts are presented.     

基于降噪时序深度学习网络的风电功率短期预测方法

利用风电场历史功率数据预测未来一段时间内的风功率,对保障电网安全稳定运行具有重要的意义。本文提出一种基于奇异谱分析SSA(singular spectrum analysis)和长短时记忆LSTM(long-short term memory net⁃work)网络的时序特征预测框架用于短期风功率的预测。首先通过SSA对历史风功率原始数据进行降噪处理,然后经过数据转换之后,以LSTM网络为基础进行预测模型的训练,最后通过某风电场提供的两个风机的历史功率数据进行验证。实验结果表明,奇异谱分析对风电场的历史数据具有良好的降噪性,SSA+LSTM模型在测试数据上取得了较好的预测性能,能够有效进行短期风功率的预测。     

基于P波模量的原位胶结充填体强度预测模型研究

原位胶结充填体质量评价通常采用单轴抗压强度作为表征指标,由于在现场工程中无法快速、准确获取充填体的强度值,因此需要建立一种参数易于获取且准确的原位胶结充填体强度预测模型。基于胶结充填体物理力学参数的内在联系,从量纲平衡的角度探索了胶结充填体单轴抗压强度与P波模量的关系。根据C矿和I矿两种原位胶结充填体的密度、P波速度及取芯强度的测试数据,采用线性拟合的方法获得了基于P波模量的原位胶结充填体强度预测模型。通过对C矿和I矿的强度预测模型拟合效果分析可知,P波模量与取芯强度呈正相关性,且拟合效果较好,证明原位胶结充填体强度预测模型精度高,具有很强的实用性。     

基于量子效应的微型推进器设计

微/纳机电系统(MEMS/NEMS)技术的发展,大大促进了航空航天领域飞行器的微型化。依据量子理论,有效提取真空中的零点能,并以此作为驱动能源,可以解决微型飞行器由于必须携带燃料而增加重量等问题。从理论上阐述了真空零点能及Casimir力的产生机理,研究了真空中两平行平板和矩形腔等结构设计依据,提出并建立了以Casimir力作为驱动力的微型推进器设计模型。     

简化形式的系统EMC预测分析技术概述

本文探讨了系统级简化形式的电磁兼容性预测分析方法，该方法对于只有几对发-收干扰对的系统EMI的预测分析简洁有效，它避免了大系统间繁复的建模与大量的数据采集及其计算工作，从而对于只考虑其结果的系统间的EMC预测分析提高了效率。