Model Selection for Small Sample Regression

Model selection is an important ingredient of many machine learning algorithms, in particular when the sample size in small, in order to strike the right trade-off between overfitting and underfitting. Previous classical results for linear regression are based on an asymptotic analysis. We present a new penalization method for performing model selection for regression that is appropriate even for small samples. Our penalization is based on an accurate estimator of the ratio of the expected training error and the expected generalization error, in terms of the expected eigenvalues of the input covariance matrix.     

What size test set gives good error rate estimates?

We address the problem of determining what size test set guarantees statistically significant results in a character recognition task, as a function of the expected error rate. We provide a statistical analysis showing that if, for example, the expected character error rate is around 1 percent, then, with a test set of at least 10,000 statistically independent handwritten characters (which could be obtained by taking 100 characters from each of 100 different writers), we guarantee, with 95 percent confidence, that: (1) the expected value of the character error rate is not worse than 1.25 E, where E is the empirical character error rate of the best recognizer, calculated on the test set; and (2) a difference of 0.3 E between the error rates of two recognizers is significant. We developed this framework with character recognition applications in mind, but it applies as well to speech recognition and to other pattern recognition problems     

Comparing support vector machines with Gaussian kernels to radialbasis function classifiers

The support vector (SV) machine is a novel type of learning machine, based on statistical learning theory, which contains polynomial classifiers, neural networks, and radial basis function (RBF) networks as special cases. In the RBF case, the SV algorithm automatically determines centers, weights, and threshold that minimize an upper bound on the expected test error. The present study is devoted to an experimental comparison of these machines with a classical approach, where the centers are determined by X-means clustering, and the weights are computed using error backpropagation. We consider three machines, namely, a classical RBF machine, an SV machine with Gaussian kernel, and a hybrid system with the centers determined by the SV method and the weights trained by error backpropagation. Our results show that on the United States postal service database of handwritten digits, the SV machine achieves the highest recognition accuracy, followed by the hybrid system. The SV approach is thus not only theoretically well-founded but also superior in a practical application     

Support vector machines for spam categorization

We study the use of support vector machines (SVM) in classifying e-mail as spam or nonspam by comparing it to three other classification algorithms: Ripper, Rocchio, and boosting decision trees. These four algorithms were tested on two different data sets: one data set where the number of features were constrained to the 1000 best features and another data set where the dimensionality was over 7000. SVM performed best when using binary features. For both data sets, boosting trees and SVM had acceptable test performance in terms of accuracy and speed. However, SVM had significantly less training time.     

Rethinking statistical learning theory: learning using statistical invariants

This paper introduces a new learning paradigm, called Learning Using Statistical Invariants (LUSI), which is different from the classical one. In a classical paradigm, the learning machine constructs a classification rule that minimizes the probability of expected error; it is data-driven model of learning. In the LUSI paradigm, in order to construct the desired classification function, a learning machine computes statistical invariants that are specific for the problem, and then minimizes the expected error in a way that preserves these invariants; it is thus both data- and invariant-driven learning. From a mathematical point of view, methods of the classical paradigm employ mechanisms of strong convergence of approximations to the desired function, whereas methods of the new paradigm employ both strong and weak convergence mechanisms. This can significantly increase the rate of convergence.

     

Gene Selection for Cancer Classification using Support Vector Machines

DNA micro-arrays now permit scientists to screen thousands of genes simultaneously and determine whether those genes are active, hyperactive or silent in normal or cancerous tissue. Because these new micro-array devices generate bewildering amounts of raw data, new analytical methods must be developed to sort out whether cancer tissues have distinctive signatures of gene expression over normal tissues or other types of cancer tissues.In this paper, we address the problem of selection of a small subset of genes from broad patterns of gene expression data, recorded on DNA micro-arrays. Using available training examples from cancer and normal patients, we build a classifier suitable for genetic diagnosis, as well as drug discovery. Previous attempts to address this problem select genes with correlation techniques. We propose a new method of gene selection utilizing Support Vector Machine methods based on Recursive Feature Elimination (RFE). We demonstrate experimentally that the genes selected by our techniques yield better classification performance and are biologically relevant to cancer.In contrast with the baseline method, our method eliminates gene redundancy automatically and yields better and more compact gene subsets. In patients with leukemia our method discovered 2 genes that yield zero leave-one-out error, while 64 genes are necessary for the baseline method to get the best result (one leave-one-out error). In the colon cancer database, using only 4 genes our method is 98% accurate, while the baseline method is only 86% accurate.