基于VMD和BSA-KELM的高陡边坡位移预测模型研究

边坡位移的时间序列曲线存在复杂的非线性特性,传统的预测模型精度不足以满足预测要求。为此提出了基于变分模态分解的鸟群优化-核极限学习机的预测模型,并用于河北省某水泥厂的边坡位移预测。该方法首先采用VMD把边坡位移序列分解为一系列的有限带宽的子序列,再对各子序列分别采用相空间重构并用核极限学习机预测,采用鸟群算法优化相空间重构的嵌入维度和KELM中惩罚系数和核参数三个数值,以取得最优预测模型。最后将各个子序列预测值叠加,得到边坡位移的最终预测值。结果表明：和KELM、BSA-KELM、EEMD-BSA-KELM模型相比,基于VMD的BSA-KELM预测精度更高,为边坡位移的预测提供一种有效的方法。     

Optical design of the Lyman alpha based beam emission spectroscopy(LAB)diagnostic on the HL-2A tokamak

In this article, we present the optical design of a novel diagnostic on the HL-2 A tokamak, i.e. the20-channel edge Lyman-alpha beam emission spectroscopy, which is a promising solution for edge density turbulence research on tokamaks, as it offers the possibility of density fluctuation measurement with a 3.3 mm spatial resolution while maintains a high temporal resolution of1 μs. The optical path, including the reflective collection optics, the high-dispersion spectrometer, and the linear detector array, is carefully optimized to obtain a good image quality and a high throughput. The maximum root mean square radius of the collection optics is 64 μm.The detected photon flux is estimated to be about 10~(11) photons/s/channel.     

河南省灵宝市董家埝银矿原生晕特征及地质意义

董家埝银矿是豫西小秦岭矿集区南成矿带目前发现的唯一大型矿床。为了矿床深部勘查工作的顺利进行,了解有用元素在垂向上的变化规律,选用原生晕地球化学方法,通过典型矿床剖面的原生晕特征研究,实现对深部矿体变化趋势的判断。经计算,确定As、Sb、Ag、Au、Cu、Pb、Zn、Co和Mo等9种元素可作为指示元素,其中As和Sb为前缘晕指示元素,Ag、Au、Cu、Pb和Zn为近矿晕指示元素,Co和Mo为尾晕指示元素。分带指数和浓集指数2种方法计算得出的元素在分带序列上的位置总体趋势一致。用分带指数法确定的主矿体自上而下的原生晕轴向分带序列为Co-Mo-Cu-Au-Sb-Zn-Pb-Ag-As,出现"反分带"现象。结合原生晕地球化学参数变化特征、矿体剥蚀程度研究和理想模型,预测M1-I主矿体向深部仍有较大的延伸。研究成果可以为区域同类型矿化地质体深部的趋势判断和决策提供参考。     

共享交通的时空轨迹检索与群体发现

为解决共享交通下的共乘用户群体发现效率低、准确率不高问题，依据R-树原理建立GeoOD-Tree索引，并在此基础上提出以最大化共乘率为目标的群体发现策略。首先，对原始时空轨迹数据进行特征提取与标定处理，挖掘有效出行起讫点（OD）轨迹；其次，针对用户起讫点轨迹的特征，建立GeoOD-Tree索引进行有效的存储管理；最后，给出以最大化共乘行程为目标的群体发现模型，并运用K最近邻（KNN）查询对搜索空间剪枝压缩，提高群体发现效率。采用西安市近12000辆出租车营运轨迹数据，选取动态时间规整（DTW）等典型算法与所提算法在查询效率与准确率上进行性能对比分析。与DTW算法相比，所提算法的准确率提高了10.12%，查询效率提高了约15倍。实验结果表明提出的群体发现策略能有效提高共乘用户群体发现的准确率和效率，可有效提升共乘出行方式的出行率。     

陕南山地烟田不同植烟年限土壤养分的变化

为给陕南山地烟草生产布局及有针对性的施肥措施提供依据,分析了陕南山地烟田不同植烟年限(0~15年)与土壤养分含量的关系。结果表明:随着植烟年限延长,有机质线性下降,全氮和速效钾显著上升,有效磷先上升后下降;氯、有效铁、有效锰、有效硼和有效铜无显著变化或变化很小,有效锌则在第1年急剧下降,之后保持稳定,10年后再次显著下降。认为陕南山地烟区烟叶生产中应适当增加有机肥的施用而合理控制氮肥、磷肥和钾肥的施用,并要注意锌肥的补充。     

纳米氧化物对水泥基料化学收缩的影响

采用ASTM化学收缩试验方法,研究纳米SiO2、MgO、Al2O3对水泥基材料化学收缩变化的影响,明确纳米材料种类的差异性。结果表明,各实验组水泥基材料化学收缩均经历三阶段:急速变化区、缓慢变化区、平稳区,7d始水泥基材料化学收缩基本稳定。几种纳米材料的最佳掺量对水泥基材料的化学收缩改善作用大小为:SiO2>Al2O3>MgO。研究发现,纳米材料种类和掺量的不同对化学收缩的影响也较大,在选用时,需综合考虑。     

教师修正性反馈对高职理科学生写作中冠词使用的影响

本研究检测了直接和间接两种修正性反馈与国内高职理科学生写作水平的关系。本实验持续五周,将150名学习者分为直接反馈组、间接反馈组及控制组,共安排了一次预先测试,,一次即时后测和一次延时后测,并分别对各组进行考察,结果显示两个实验组进步显著,且直接反馈效果最明显。     

攀长特节能减排措施探讨

通过分析攀长钢能源管理存在的不足和困难,从强化员工节能意识、合理组织生产、优化生产工艺、充分使用循环水、完善计量器具、加强余热利用及优化能源管理机制等方面入手提出节能改进措施,具有一定的现实意义。     

5-二茂铁基噁唑的合成研究

以二茂铁甲醛和对甲苯磺酰基异氰(TOSMIC)为原料,经过Van Leusen反应,一步合成目标化合物5-二茂铁基噁唑,通过~1HNMR、~(13)CNMR和ESI-MS对其结构进行表征,并对影响收率的主要因素进行考察。结果表明,在物料比n(TOSMIC)∶n(二茂铁甲醛)为1.1∶1、反应溶剂为甲醇、K_2CO_3用量即n(K_2CO_3)∶n(二茂铁甲醛)为2.0∶1、反应温度为65℃、反应时间为8 h的最佳条件下,目标化合物收率达到74.7%。该方法具有原料廉价易得、反应操作简单、收率高等优点,具有一定的应用价值。     

Microenvironment and related genes predict outcomes of patients with cervical cancer: evidence from TCGA and bioinformatic analysis

Cervical cancer (CESC) is one of the most common cancers and affects the female genital tract. Consistent HPV infection status has been determined to be a vital cause of tumorigenesis. HPV infection may induce changes to the immune system and limit the host’s immune response. Immunotherapy is therefore essential to improving the overall survival of both locally advanced and recurrent CESC patients. Using 304 relevant samples from TCGA, we assessed immune cell function in CESC patients to better understand the status of both tumor micro-environment cells and immune cells in CESC. Functional enrichment analysis, pathway enrichment analysis, and PPI network construction were performed to explore the differentially expressed genes (DEGs). The analysis identified 425 DEGs, which included 295 up-regulated genes and 130 down-regulated genes. We established that upregulation of CCL5 was correlated with significantly better survival, meaning that CCL5 expression could serve as a novel prognostic biomarker for CESC patients. We further focused on CCL5 as a hub gene in CESC, as it had significant correlations with increased numbers of several types of immune cells. Cell-type fractions of M1 macrophages were significantly higher in the high-immune-scores group, which was associated with better overall survival. Finally, we concluded that CCL5 is a promising prognostic biomarker for CESC, as well as a novel chemotherapeutic target.