对方案有偏好的直觉模糊多属性决策方法

对属性权重信息不完全、属性值和决策者对方案的偏好信息均以直觉模糊数表示的多属性决策问题提出一种决策方法。首先根据决策者对方案的偏好信息建立多目标规划模型,求出属性权重,接着利用觉模糊加权算术平均算子求出方案的综合属性值,由直觉模糊数的得分函数和精确函数确定方案的排序,最后通过实例证明了该方法的实用性和有效性。     

基于累积前景理论和Choquet积分的直觉梯形模糊多属性决策

针对属性值为直觉梯形模糊数且属性存在关联性的风险决策问题, 提出一种基于累积前景理论和Choquet积分的直觉梯形模糊多属性决策方法。根据直觉梯形模糊数距离公式定义了直觉梯形模糊信息的前景价值函数, 通过价值函数和决策权重函数计算方案单属性前景值, 并运用Choquet积分融合属性间存在关联性的前景价值信息获得方案综合前景值, 根据综合前景值的大小实现方案的排序和优选。风险投资实例分析说明了该方法的可行性。     

基于直觉梯形模糊TOPSIS的多属性群决策方法

提出一种改进的逼近理想解排序(TOPSIS)方法,即直觉梯形模糊TOPSIS多属性群决策方法。首先,应用直觉梯形模糊数形式表示方案属性偏好和属性权重信息且专家权重完全未知;然后,利用直觉梯形模糊数间距离测度和期望值及直觉梯形模糊加权平均算子来确定决策者权重信息和属性权重信息;进而给出直觉梯形模糊环境下方案优选的算法;最后,通过算例进一步说明了该直觉梯形模糊TOPSIS方法的有效性。     

基于IITFN输入的复杂系统关联MAGDM方法

区间直觉梯形模糊数（Interval-valued intuitionistic trapezoidal fuzzy number,IITFN）是刻画复杂系统不确定性的有效工具. 基于进一步完善的IITFN 运算规则,讨论其局部封闭性. 由此定义IITFN 几何Bonferroni 平均算子,并验证该算子的相关性质. 针对决策者及属性之间均存在关联作用且权重均未知的多属性群决策（Multi-attribute group decision making,MAGDM）问题,提出基于前景混合区间直觉梯形几何 Bonferroni （Prospect hybrid interval-valued intuitionistic trapezoidal fuzzy geometric Bonferroni,PHIITFGB）平均算子 的关联多属性群决策方法. 该方法首先通过依次定义IITFN 的前景效应、前景价值函数和前景价值,获取前景价值矩阵;其次,将前景价值矩阵转化为前景记分函数矩阵,并综合运用基于灰关联深度系数的客观属性权重极大 熵模型和基于2-可加模糊测度与Choquet 积分联合的决策者权重确定模型,获取决策者权重及属性权重;再次,利 用PHIITFGB 算子集结各决策者的方案评估信息,结合决策者权重即可获取相应于各方案的综合前景价值;最后,计算综合前景记分价值函数,基于IITFN 的序关系判别准则确定方案排序. 案例验证决策方法的有效性和可行性.     

基于前景理论的信息不完全的模糊多准则决策方法

针对准则权重不完全确定且方案的准则值为梯形模糊数的多准则决策问题,提出一种基于前景理论的模糊多准则决策方法.该方法将决策者的风险心理因素引入多准则决策,根据前景理论及模糊数距离公式,定义梯形模糊数的前景价值函数,并以此构建方案综合前景值最大化的非线性规划模型,求解模型得出最优权向量,最终确定出方案的排序.最后通过实例说明了该方法的有效性和可行性.     

基于改进前景理论的直觉模糊随机多准则决策方法

针对方案准则值为直觉模糊数、准则权重信息部分已知的随机多准则决策问题,提出一种基于改进前景理论的决策分析方法.首先,定义一个新的记分函数,据此可将直觉模糊数转化为实数.其次,考虑到决策者并非完全理性及决策者风险态度的差异性,将决策者分为保守型、 中间型及冒险型,引入改进前景理论,根据不同决策者类型调整参数,构建改进前景决策矩阵.再次,建立以准则值总差异最大化且准则权重差异最小化为目标的非线性二次偏差优化定权模型,计算准则权重.进而,结合改进前景决策矩阵及准则权重计算各方案的综合效用值,并以此确定方案的顺序排列.最后,通过算例验证所提出直觉模糊随机多准则决策方法的有效性和合理性.     

基于云模型的区间直觉模糊数多属性群决策

针对属性值为区间直觉模糊数的多属性群决策问题, 考虑到模糊性和随机性对群决策过程及结果的影响, 本研究将利用云模型理论结合区间直觉模糊数的特征, 运用灰色关联系数法和信息熵理论确定专家和属性权重, 通过信息集结构建综合评价云模型. 不同于传统的区间直觉模糊数的排序方法, 本研究利用云模型的3En规则将区间直觉模糊数进行云转换并通过云相似度确定方案的综合评价值和犹豫度, 然后对决策方案进行比较分析. 研究结果表明: 该方法能够科学有效地进行决策, 进而为决策方提供科学依据.     

基于风险加权的同构化区间型多属性决策新算法

多属性决策问题的复杂性、决策因素影响的不确定和传统评判方法的局限性,使不确定决策因素的属性测度常常难以精确量化,往往只能用区间数进行大致估量.为了精确量化表征属性决策因素测度值不确定性,根据同构化基本原理与相似性科学相关理论及相关思想,针对区间型多属性决策问题提出了一种基于同构化多属性决策新方法的新算法.该新算法的主要特点是:1)提出了决策者风险偏好权重;2)采用了同构化风险测度三元组(拟下限相似度,风险程度,风险偏好值),来精确量化决策过程中存在的风险程度以及决策者对此风险程度的偏好;3)生成了可描述各属性与决策目标关系的标杆方案;4)定义了方案相似度新概念;5)构造了风险加权相似度量算子(RWSM0),来度量各决策方案与标杆方案之间风险加权相似度的大小;6)挑选出风险加权相似度最大的方案作为最优或满意方案.     

区间值模糊随机多准则决策方法

针对不完全信息的区间值模糊随机多准则决策问题,提出了两种求解方法。第一种方法利用离差最大化构建区间参数线性规划,通过区间数运算法则和定位规划求得最优准则权重向量、状态集结值区间决策矩阵与期望值区间决策矩阵,根据决策者风险偏好水平得到各方案的期望集结值从而确定排序。第二种方法将区间值模糊数决策矩阵转化为直觉模糊数决策矩阵,利用不完全的准则权重,通过规划模型求解,获取各方案在各自然状态下的加权记分函数值与加权精确函数值的区间,利用不完全的状态概率,得到各方案的记分函数期望值与精确函数期望值的区间,根据决策者风险偏好水平,求得各方案的记分函数与精确函数的期望集结值,进而确定方案的排序结果。算例分析验证了两种方法的有效性和可行性。     

灰色关联投影下的模糊多属性群决策方法

针对属性评价信息为区间直觉梯形模糊数的多属性群决策问题,给出一种基于灰色关联投影的群决策方法。在规范化处理各决策矩阵的基础上,定义负极端决策矩阵及平均决策矩阵,根据各决策矩阵与这两类矩阵的距离大小确定决策者权重,由区间直觉梯形模糊数加权算术平均算子及决策者权重得到群体决策矩阵。由各方案与正、负理想方案的相对贴近度最小化确定各属性权重,以正理想方案为参考,计算各方案与参考序列关于每个属性的灰色关联系数,并计算各方案到正理想方案的灰色关联投影值,根据各方案投影值大小实现对方案的排序择优。将所给群决策方法应用到生鲜冷库空调系统选择决策问题中,算例分析的过程体现了该群决策方法有效性与可行性。     

MADM method based on prospect theory and evidential reasoning approach with unknown attribute weights under intuitionistic fuzzy environment

This paper proposes an intuitionistic fuzzy decision method based on prospect theory and the evidential reasoning approach, aiming at analyzing multi-attribute decision making problems in which the criteria values are intuitionistic fuzzy numbers and the information of attributes weights is unknown. Firstly, the measures of entropy and cross entropy are defined for intuitionistic fuzzy sets by taking into consideration the preference of decision maker towards hesitancy degree. Secondly, combined with bounded rationality, the prospect decision matrix is calculated in the light of prospect theory and intuitionistic fuzzy distance. Thirdly, the correlational analyses are conducted between the attribute weights and three indicators which are entropy, cross entropy and prospect value, and optimization models for identifying attribute weights are built under the circumstances that the weights are incomplete and unknown. Finally, in order to avoid the loss of decision making information, the evidential reasoning approach is applied to the calculation of comprehensive prospective values for all alternatives. Following the value calculation, the ranking and the optimal alternative are determined based on the comprehensive prospective values. Illustrating examples demonstrate that the proposed method is reasonable and feasible.     

直觉模糊环境下考虑有限理性特征的决策方法

针对决策者具有有限理性的心理特征且属性权重和自然状态发生概率完全未知的直觉模糊多属性决策问题,提出了一种基于前景理论和证据理论的多属性决策方法。首先,利用证据理论得到各自然状态发生的概率,进而确定自然状态的决策权重函数;其次,运用正态分布概率密度函数设计直觉模糊决策参考点,并依据属性值与决策参考点之间的差异计算价值函数矩阵,从而获得前景价值矩阵;以综合前景价值最大化为准则构建最优化模型用以确定属性权重,并依据各方案的综合前景价值进行优劣排序。最后,将所提方法应用于对游戏产品的选择开发实例中。对比实验表明,运用所提方法得到的决策结果合理可靠,且更能体现决策者的原始决策信息。     

基于前景理论的犹豫模糊TOPSIS多属性决策方法

针对属性权重未知、属性值为犹豫模糊集的决策问题,提出一种前景理论和逼近理想解(TOPSIS)相结合的多属性决策方法.考虑到决策者对指标集的不同偏好,利用犹豫模糊熵的相关理论,提出一种基于犹豫模糊熵的熵权法确定属性权重.将决策者的风险心理因素引入犹豫模糊多属性决策中,定义了犹豫模糊数的前景价值函数,并以此将犹豫模糊决策矩阵转化为价值矩阵,计算出各方案的收益损失比值.最终应用TOPSIS的基本思路,确定备选方案的优劣排序,并通过算例分析验证了所提出方法的有效性.     

Research on the multi-attribute decision-making under risk with interval probability based on prospect theory and the uncertain linguistic variables

With respect to risk decision making problems with interval probability in which the attribute values take the form of the uncertain linguistic variables, a multi-attribute decision making method based on prospect theory is proposed. To begin with, the uncertain linguistic variables can be transformed into the trapezoidal fuzzy number, and the prospect value function of the trapezoidal fuzzy number based on the decision-making reference point of each attribute and the weight function of interval probability can be constructed; then the prospect value of attribute for every alternative is calculated through prospect value function of the trapezoidal fuzzy number and the weight function of interval probability, and the weighted prospect value of alternative is acquired by using weighted average method according to attribute weights, and all the alternatives are sorted according to the expected values of the weighted prospect values; Finally, an illustrate example is given to show the decision-making steps, the influence on decision making for different parameters of value function and different decision-making reference point, and the feasibility of the method.     

A method based on preference degrees for handling hybrid multiple attribute decision making problems

In this paper, we investigate hybrid multiple attribute decision making problems with various forms of attribute values (real numbers, linguistic labels, interval numbers, intuitionistic fuzzy numbers and interval intuitionistic fuzzy numbers). We propose a method based on preference degrees which may take the forms of fuzzy numbers, intuitionistic fuzzy numbers and interval intuitionistic fuzzy numbers. The method first normalizes various forms of attribute values into preference degrees, and then uses a preference degree-based weighted averaging operator to aggregate the normalized preference degrees. Meanwhile, for convenience of calculation, a new linguistic representation model is presented, whose feasibility is verified by comparing it with the traditional 4-tuple linguistic representation model, and from our model, the mapping relationship between interval intuitionistic fuzzy numbers and linguistic labels can be constructed. Finally, we illustrate the rationality and practicality of the proposed method by an application example.     

Some induced geometric aggregation operators with intuitionistic fuzzy information and their application to group decision making

With respect to multiple attribute group decision making (MAGDM) problems in which both the attribute weights and the expert weights take the form of real numbers, attribute values take the form of intuitionistic fuzzy numbers or interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy numbers, some new group decision making analysis methods are developed. Firstly, some operational laws, score function and accuracy function of intuitionistic fuzzy numbers or interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy numbers are introduced. Then two new aggregation operators: induced intuitionistic fuzzy ordered weighted geometric (I-IFOWG) operator and induced interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy ordered weighted geometric (I-IIFOWG) operator are proposed, and some desirable properties of the I-IFOWG and I-IIFOWG operators are studied, such as commutativity, idempotency and monotonicity. An I-IFOWG and IFWG (intuitionistic fuzzy weighted geometric) operators-based approach is developed to solve the MAGDM problems in which both the attribute weights and the expert weights take the form of real numbers, attribute values take the form of intuitionistic fuzzy numbers. Further, we extend the developed models and procedures based on I-IIFOWG and IIFWG (interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy weighted geometric) operators to solve the MAGDM problems in which both the attribute weights and the expert weights take the form of real numbers, attribute values take the form of interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy numbers. Finally, some illustrative examples are given to verify the developed approach and to demonstrate its practicality and effectiveness.