Improving Cost Estimates of Construction Projects Using Phased Cost Factors

Central to cost-based competition is the capability to accurately predict the cost of delivering a project. Most literature on cost estimation focuses on specific estimation methods as generic techniques and little attention has been paid to the unique requirements at each project stage. This note attempts to identify the critical factors for effective estimation at various stages of typical construction projects. Drawing from organization control theory and cost estimating literature, this note develops a theoretical framework that identifies the critical factors for effective cost estimation during each project phase of a conventional construction project. The underlying logic is that as a cost estimating effort progresses, both task programmability and output measurability improve. As a result, control effort will shift from input-oriented control to a combination of output and behavior control.     

Developing Cost Response Models for Company-Level Cost Flow Forecasting of Project-Based Corporations

The difficulty in applying the standard curve (S-curve) and cost-schedule integration (CSI) techniques for company-level cost flow forecasting in a project-based industry is the prerequisite of forecasting future unknown individual projects and contract classifications. By analyzing cost flows at the company level through a pool of macroeconomic and internal financial data, this paper proposes an innovative approach to firm-specific model estimation. First, a series of data transformations introduce linear relationships between cost, macroeconomic, and internal financial variables. Second, multivariate regression analysis is employed for initial model building. Third, for the purposes of model restructuring, a subsequent application of Yule–Walker estimates and incomplete principal component analysis is used. This paper uses a sample of four project-based construction firms to demonstrate model performance. Using this methodology, mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) values of the forecasting models range from 0.27 to 0.60%. As such, the transformed cost, macroeconomic, internal financial data could strongly predict company-level cost flow forecasting. While converting the predicted cumulative cost data to periodic cost flows, the MAPE values were augmented, ranging from 7.04 to 17.55%, thus, requiring future research.     

电梯门机控制系统的运行曲线设计

为了实现电梯轿厢门的开门和关门快速且平稳地运行，介绍了一种基于高性能微型机的门机控制系统结构和门位移的检测原理，以门位移量作为控制系统的反馈量，对门机运行速度进行了分区设计。在高速附近的变化区，门机速度匀速变化时，进行了门机开门和关门控制曲线的计算，推导出运行位移与门机速度具有二次曲线的关系，进而对微型机控制的软件流程进行了设计，达到了门机高低速运行的平稳过渡。最后，给出了实际运行系统的主电路电压波形。     

激光平网雕刻机设计

研制了用于制作平面网版的激光雕刻机，设计了雕刻机用CO2激光器、光路系统及单片机控制系统，探讨了将图像文件转化为控制命令文件的方法。     

承钢棒材连轧线计算机控制系统

主要介绍了承钢棒材连轧线计算机控制系统，其中包括了系统的硬件配置，控制功能及控制说明。     

实时多任务操作系统响应性能预估和测试

本文给出了作者开发的一个单处理机实时多任务操作系统的响应性能（响应时间，同步时间）的实验结果和／或估算。与国外同期文献发表的数据相比，指标先进。     

Adaptive control of siso plants with unmodelled dynamics

In this paper we pursue a twofold aim. First we want to simplify the complexity of the classical Monopoli's scheme, the so-called ‘Augmented error signal control scheme’. Then we also wish to cope with the realistic situation in which the presence of unmodelled dynamics has to be taken into account. This latter problem has been faced in the literature by suitably modifying the adaptation mechanism in order to avoid undesired phenomena as well as to obtain an attractive stability region for the state trajectories starting from any point in a predefined initial condition set. In our case the necessity of introducing any sort of modification in the adaptation mechanism is completely avoided, but we still obtain asymptotic stability of the output error signal.     

ETR Ⅱ-30调速器液压控制系统

ETRⅠ-30调速器是瑞士爱舍维斯工厂生产的具有PID调节规律的电液调速器。本文对其液压控制系统作了较详细的介绍,供有关人员参考。     

柴石滩电站计算机监控系统配置及主要功能

柴石滩水库坝后电站装机容量３×２０ＭＷ，水库库容４．３７亿，坝高１０３．２ｍ，电站采用计算机监控为主简易常规监控为辅的方式。本文介绍了电站计算机监控系统网络结构及系统软硬件配置以及监控系统功能、特点，简易常规监控方式。电站监控系统采用招标方式已定了生产厂家和系统方案。     

刍议C~3I系统技术在城市交通管理中的应用

首先简单叙述了Ｃ３Ｉ系统在军事上的应用，然后针对我国各类大中型城市的交通现状及特点，涉及到城市交通管理、道路管理、车辆管理和城市交通管理指挥中心站、区域指挥站及各交叉路口控制站，提出将Ｃ３Ｉ系统体系结构运用到民用城市交通管理中去的构想。