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1.
为了获得更优的网络流量预测结果,提出一种复合协方差函数高斯过程(GP)的网络流量预测模型。首先采用复合协方差函数构建GP模型,然后对网络流量训练集进行训练,找到协方差和均值函数的最优参数,最后建立网络流量预测模型,并与支持向量机、神经网络、传统高斯过程进行网络流量的单步和多步预测对比测试。结果表明,相对于对比模型,复合协方差函数GP模型更加能够辨识非线性的网络流量变化趋势,提高了网络流量的预测精确性,是一种有效的复杂网络流量变化预测方法。  相似文献   

2.
基于有限元法建立复合地基三维固结过程的动力学模型.该模型包括桩-土相互作用、土壤-孔隙流体材料等的非线性特性.通过子模型和嵌入区域技术,降低计算规模,提高计算模型的收敛性,并建立针对此类问题的基本分析流程和方法.  相似文献   

3.
针对复杂工业过程中的非线性、非高斯特性以及多工况问题, 提出了一种基于局部模型的在线统计监测新方法. 首先利用局部最小二乘支持向量机回归 (Least square support vector regression, LSSVR) 模型对过程输出进行预测, 与真实的输出相比较构成残差序列. 然后利用 ICA-PCA 两步特征提取策略, 完整地提取残差的高斯和非高斯信息, 最后用三个统计量 (I2、T2 和 SPE) 对过程进行监测, 建立了一种具有非线性、非高斯特性的多工况过程在线监测算法. 通过对 TE (Tennessee Eastman) 过程的仿真研究, 验证提出的方法是可行、有效的, 并显示出了一定的故障检测能力.  相似文献   

4.
ARIMA与SVM组合模型的石油价格预测   总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0  
吴虹  尹华 《计算机仿真》2010,27(5):264-266,326
针对复杂时间序列预测困难的问题,在综合分析其线性和非线性复合特征的基础上,提出了一种基于ARIMA和SVM相结合的时间序列预测模型。首先采用ARIMA模型对时间序列进行线性建模,然后采用SVM对时间序列的非线性部分进行建模,最后得到两种模型的综合预测结果。将组合模型应用于石油价格预测中,仿真结果表明组合模型相对于单模型的预测具有更高的精度,发挥了2种模型各自的优势,在复杂时间序列预测中具有广泛的应用前景。  相似文献   

5.
为探究海洋基础工程中开孔防沉板地基的承载力和稳定性,在Abaqus中建立不同开孔率的开孔防沉板与不排水饱和黏性土体的相互作用模型,模拟单向和复合加载作用下地基的破坏过程,研究防沉板开孔率与地基承载力的相互关系。研究结果可为实际工程中给定载荷下方形开孔防沉板结构的快速设计、承载力校核和稳定性判断提供参考。  相似文献   

6.
为了解决工业过程受本身结构特征、外界因素等影响而存在严重的非线性和时变性等问题,本文提出了一种基于输入输出综合性相似度指标的即时学习高斯过程软测量建模方法。在该方法中,将样本数据进行归一化处理,首先利用传统的基于距离和角度的相似度指标分别对样本输入输出变量进行相似度计算,进而对相似度进行综合,最后选择出最终的相关样本集,建立高斯过程回归软测量模型,将所提基于输入输出相似度指标的即时学习高斯工程软测量模型应用于城市日用电量数据的预测。研究结果表明,所提出的软测量建模方法可以实现对日用电量数据的高精度预测且预测结果具有较小的误差。因此可表明该方法可在电量预测中具有一定的应用可靠性,可以在电力市场预测分析中得到广泛的应用。  相似文献   

7.
提出一种适合于GEP表达式树构造的新方法,以及相应的新解码方法(GPED).通过实验对比,GPED可大大缩短演化时间.提出一种新的算法GPEP,将GPEP应用于碎石桩复合地基承载力预测,结果表明GPEP算法在预测精度和演化效率上均超过遗传神经网络、GP等算法.  相似文献   

8.
针对网络流量的非线性和时变性等特点,为了提高网络流量预测精度,提出一种组合核函数高斯过程的网络流量预测模型。用自相关法和假近邻法计算网络流量的延迟时间和嵌入维数,构建网络流量学习样本;采用组合核函数高斯过程对训练集进行学习,并且参数通过遗传算法进行优化;最后采用网络流量数据对模型性能测试。仿真表明,相对于对比模型,组合核函数高斯模型获得了更高的预测精度,预测结果更加稳定、可靠,具有较大的实际应用价值。  相似文献   

9.
研究了地震作用下非线性地基中桩基的3次超谐波共振问题.从地基桩中抽象出力学模型,考虑地基的非线性因素,运用Hamilton变分原理建立了桩基的非线性控制方程.利用Galerkin方法离散上述方程,基于多尺度摄动法研究了地震作用下非线性地基中桩的3次超谐波共振问题.以某嵌岩圆形桩为例,研究了地基土层厚度、剪切波速度及频率比对地震力的影响,数值模拟了非线性地基桩的3次超谐波共振响应,探讨了地震力、地基弹性及非弹性系数对超谐波幅频响应的影响,最后研究桩基产生3次超谐波共振时的时间历程曲线.结果表明,当地震波频率约等于桩基固有频率的1/3时,容易激发桩的3次超谐波共振响应;桩基的3次超谐波共振响应随着地震力、非弹性系数的增大而变得更加显著,随着弹性系数的增大而逐渐变小.  相似文献   

10.
提出了一种基于T-S模型的模糊预测控制策略。T-S模糊模型用来描述对象的非线性动态特性,通过当前的工况参数实时在线的修正每一时刻的阶跃响应模型参数,将模糊模型作为常规线性预测控制DMC方法的预测模型,从而把T-S模型对复杂的非线性系统的良好描述特性和预测控制的滚动优化算法相结合,来实现利用常规线性预测控制策略对非线性系统的有效控制,有效地解决了复杂工业过程的强非线性问题。pH中和过程的仿真结果表明其性能明显优于传统的PID控制器。  相似文献   

11.
研究了复合桩基承载力可靠性分析的方法,这对复合桩基的可靠性设计将起到积极的推动作用,采用复合桩基承载力计算公式Pu=I(nPp Ps)来计算复合桩基的极限承载力,并通过实例计算,分析确定了承台底土及桩体极限承载力的均值和方差,并由此得出复合桩基极限承载力的概率特性。  相似文献   

12.

Prediction of pile-bearing capacity developing artificial intelligence models has been done over the last decade. Such predictive tools can assist geotechnical engineers to easily determine the ultimate pile bearing capacity instead of conducting any difficult field tests. The main aim of this study is to predict the bearing capacity of pile developing several smart models, i.e., neuro-genetic, neuro-imperialism, genetic programing (GP) and artificial neural network (ANN). For this purpose, a number of concrete pile characteristics and its dynamic load test specifications were investigated to select pile cross-sectional area, pile length, pile set, hammer weight and drop height as five input variables which have the most impacts on pile bearing capacity as the single output variable. It should be noted that all the aforementioned parameters were measured by conducting a series of pile driving analyzer tests on precast concrete piles located in Pekanbaru, Indonesia. The recorded data were used to establish a database of 50 test cases. With regard to data modelling, many smart models of neuro-genetic, neuro-imperialism, GP and ANN were developed and then evaluated based on the three most common statistical indices, i.e., root mean squared error (RMSE), coefficient determination (R2) and variance account for (VAF). Based on the simulation results and the computed indices’ values, it is observed that the proposed GP model with training and test RMSE values of 0.041 and 0.040, respectively, performs noticeably better than the proposed neuro-genetic model with RMSE values of 0.042 and 0.040, neuro-imperialism model with RMSE values of 0.045 and 0.059, and ANN model with RMSE values of 0.116 and 0.108 for training and test sets, respectively. Therefore, this GP-based model can provide a new applicable equation to effectively predict the ultimate pile bearing capacity.

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13.
摘 要: 针对 Revit 自有的功能构建建筑信息模型(BIM)效率较低等问题,基于 Revit 二次 开发,在没有桩基承台平面布置 CAD 图的情况下,通过识别由结构分析软件生成的柱(墙)底内 力图的图元信息,提出了一种桩基承台自动设计算法。该方法以 Revit 制作单桩竖向承载力特 征值计算表为基础,在 C#中编写算法程序。根据桩基承台的构造和上部结构的要求自动设计出 桩基承台,并将满足承载力要求的桩基承台准确地布置在相应的柱(墙)下,其显著地提高了桩 基工程建模效率,且为后续工程量计算以及不同桩基础经济性比较提供便利。  相似文献   

14.
疏桩基础是近年来开始的对桩基设计理论的新探索。它以控制建筑物的沉降量和补偿天然地基承载力不足来确定桩的补偿量,因此它的变形性状有别于传统的桩基。选用了能描述土体塑性特点的弹塑性本构模型,利用研制的并经过算例验证的三维有限元程序对疏桩基础的变形性状进行了分析,得出了疏桩基础的整体沉降、桩间土体的压缩、桩端下土体的压缩等的变化规律。  相似文献   

15.
Three genetic programming models are developed for determining the ultimate bearing capacity of shallow foundations. The proposed genetic programming system (GPS), which comprises genetic programming (GP), weighted genetic programming (WGP), and soft-computing polynomials (SCP), simultaneously provides accurate prediction and visible formulas. Some improvements are achieved for GP and WGP. The SCP is also designed to model the ultimate bearing capacity of shallow foundations with polynomials. Laboratory experimental tests of shallow foundations on cohesionless soils are used with parameters of the angle of shearing resistance, the unit weight of the soil, and the geometry of a foundation considers depth, width, and length to determine the ultimate bearing capacity. Analytical results confirm that all GPS models perform well with acceptable prediction accuracy. Visible formulas of GPS models also facilitate parameter studies, sensitivity analysis, and application of pruning techniques. Notably, SCP gives concise representations for the ultimate bearing capacity and identifies the significant parameters. Although shear resistance angles have the largest impact on ultimate bearing capacity, foundation width and depth are also significant.  相似文献   

16.

The pile bearing capacity is considered as the most essential factor in designing deep foundations. Direct determination of this parameter in site is costly and difficult. Hence, this study presents a new technique of intelligence system based on the adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS)-group method of data handling (GMDH) optimized by the imperialism competitive algorithm (ICA), ANFIS-GMDH-ICA for forecasting pile bearing capacity. In this advanced structure, the ICA role is to optimize the membership functions obtained by ANFIS-GMDH technique for receiving a higher accuracy level and lower error. To develop this model, the results of 257 high strain dynamic load tests (performed by authors) were considered and used in the analysis. For comparison purposes, ANFIS and GMDH models were selected and built for pile bearing capacity estimation. In terms of model accuracy, the obtained results showed that the newly developed model (i.e., ANFIS-GMDH-ICA) receives more accurate predicted values of pile bearing capacity compared to those obtained by ANFIS and GMDH predictive models. The proposed ANFIS-GMDH-ICA can be utilized as an advanced, applicable and powerful technique in issues related to foundation engineering and its design.

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17.
湿陷性黄土在我国西部地区分布广泛,伴随着西部大开发战略的实施和重要基础设施的不断兴建,长短复合桩基在该地区得到广泛应用.用Abaqus分析一种长短复合桩基的承载性能.在桩基所承受的竖向载荷不变的情况下,逐步加大桩基所承受的横向载荷,得到承台的横向位移变化情况.分别改变桩长、桩径、桩距和桩-土弹性模量比等参数,进行多工况分析.最后给出Abaqus针对该问题的加速性能测试结果.  相似文献   

18.
Engineering with Computers - Pile as a type of foundation is a structure which can transfer heavy structural loads into the ground. Determination and proper prediction of pile bearing capacity are...  相似文献   

19.

The bored pile foundations are gaining popularity in construction industry because of ease in construction, low noise and vibrations. The load-carrying capacity of bored pile foundations is dependent upon soil–structure interaction. This being a three-dimensional problem is further complicated due to large variations in soil properties. Also, modeling of soil is difficult because of its nonlinear and anisotropic nature. For such cases, the artificial neural network (ANN) and nature-inspired optimization techniques have been found to be highly suitable to attain acceptable levels of accuracy. In the present study, two ANNs have been trained for determination of unit skin friction and unit end bearing capacity from soil properties. The training data for ANNs have been obtained from finite element analysis of pile foundations for 4809 different soil types. A dataset of 50 field pile loading test results is used to check the performance of the developed artificial neural networks. To enhance the accuracy of the developed ANNs, two correlation factors have been determined by applying four popular nature-inspired optimization algorithms: particle swarm optimization (PSO), fire flies, cuckoo search and bacterial foraging. In order to rank these optimization algorithms, parametric and nonparametric statistical analysis has been carried out. The results of optimization algorithms have been compared to find the most suitable solution for this multi-dimensional problem which has a large number of nonlinear equality constraints. The effectiveness and suitability of the nature-inspired algorithms for the presented problem have been demonstrated by computing correlation coefficients with field pile loading test results and then with the total execution time taken by each algorithm. The results of comparison show that PSO is the best performer for such constrained problems.

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