基于L型线阵的二维分布源参数估计方法

针对二维分布源信号波达方向估计问题,提出了一个新的二维分布源模型及其参数估计方法。将基于角度信号密度函数的一维相干分布源模型扩展至二维,推导了二维分布源的广义阵列方向向量。在L型线阵下,利用广义MUSIC算法,首先估计出俯仰角及其扩散参数,然后利用估计出来的俯仰角及扩散参数对方位角及扩散参数进行估计。仿真实验表明,所提出的二维相干分布源参数估计算法具有良好的定向精度。     

一种基于Bayes方法的随机模型修正方法

提出了一种随机模型的修正方法用以估计结构参数的统计特性.基于Bayes方法的参数估计原理,将需要修正的结构参数的均值和方差看作符合一定先验概率分布的随机变量,根据核密度估计原理构建得到似然函数,进而使用基于差分进化的MCMC方法估计参数的后验概率密度,并根据最大后验概率密度准则估计结构参数的均值和方差.同时使用Kriging方法建立了结构输入和输出之间的代理模型,保证计算精度的同时极大地节约了计算时间.数值算例验证了本方法的可行性.     

基于贝叶斯理论嵌套抽样的结构物理参数识别研究EI北大核心CSCD

基于贝叶斯估计的结构物理参数识别中,传统马尔可夫蒙特卡洛抽样(MCMC)在解决高维密度函数问题时往往存在抽样效率低、不收敛等问题。采用嵌套抽样方法代替传统的马尔可夫蒙特卡洛抽样,解决了结构物理参数识别中高维后验联合概率密度函数问题。首先从结构加速度时程响应时程出发,建立了后验联合概率密度函数,然后重新定义了结构参数先验分布与似然函数,实现了基于嵌套抽样的结构物理参数识别。采用该方法分别对10层剪切结构数值模型与3层RC框架结构振动台试验模型进行识别,得到了结构刚度及阻尼比等参数,并与试验现象进行了对比。结果表明,该方法可以解决贝叶斯公式高维后验联合概率密度函数问题,且能高效识别结构物理参数,同时也验证了该方法在真实结构物理参数识别与结构损伤识别中的适用性与可靠性。     

结构概率损伤识别的改进近似贝叶斯计算

结合近似贝叶斯计算(ABC)、Metropolis Hastings(MH)抽样和随机响应面(SRS)提出了一种改进近似贝叶斯计算方法,用于快速估计结构随机参数的后验概率分布,进而识别结构损伤。首先将ABC与MH抽样结合,引入建议分布、接受概率和动态容差来判断抽样样本的准确度,同时通过误差函数对比仿真样本和实测样本的相似性,避免了求解似然函数;然后针对大量抽样样本的响应计算,利用SRS建立结构随机参数与响应之间的显式表达式,实现对响应统计特征值的快速计算;最后基于改进ABC法估计试验钢筋混凝土梁的参数后验概率分布,进一步构建和对比损伤前后梁的概率损伤指标,以此判断梁的损伤位置和程度。研究结果表明:改进ABC法能有效降低参数后验概率分布的求解难度,同时提高了贝叶斯参数识别问题的求解效率,特别是与传统贝叶斯方法相比,改进ABC法可以识别梁的多损伤工况。     

多方程线性模型系统的贝叶斯预报分析

多方程线性模型系统的贝叶斯预报分析是贝叶斯线性模型理论的重要组成部分。通过模型系统的统计结构,证明了矩阵正态-Wishart分布是模型参数的共轭先验分布;根据模型的样本似然函数和参数的先验分布推导了参数的后验分布;然后,从数学上严格推断了模型的预报分布密度函数,证明了模型预报分布为矩阵t分布。研究结果表明：由于参数先验分布的作用辟,样本的预报分布与其原统计分布有着本质性的差异,前者为矩阵正态分布,而后者为矩阵t分布。     

关于贝叶斯估计的进一步讨论

文章则从绝对差损失函数与相对差损失函数出发 ,先导出两种新的贝叶斯解——中值估计和积分比估计 ;然后再对实际问题进行具体应用 ;在选定同类先验分布条件下将以上结果与传统的条件期望估计、最大后验估计相比较 ,探讨了各类贝叶斯解的优良性 .     

结合近似贝叶斯计算和改进群体蒙特卡洛抽样的结构损伤识别

为避免陷入低概率区抽样并提高抽样效率,改进了群体蒙特卡洛(PMC)抽样算法,再结合近似贝叶斯计算(ABC)和随机响应面(SRS)提出一种概率损伤识别方法。首先将ABC和改进PMC算法进行嵌套,利用每个迭代步的样本方差来搅动粒子群和求取自适应权重系数,再构造衡量仿真和实测样本间相似度的误差函数,用于替代似然函数;然后使用SRS建立结构随机响应的显式表达式,大幅提高响应统计特征值的计算效率;最后将求得的参数后验概率分布统计特征值作为损伤指标,根据损伤前后指标值的变化来判断损伤位置和程度。对试验钢筋混凝土梁的单、多工况损伤进行了识别,验证了所提出方法在保证参数后验分布估计精度的条件下,可以有效提高贝叶斯推断过程的计算效率。     

基于贝叶斯信息融合的测量不确定度评定与实时更新

基于贝叶斯信息融合与统计推断原理,建立不确定度动态评定模型,对测量不确定度进行实时更新。引入最大熵原理和爬山搜索优化算法,确定先验分布概率密度函数及样本信息似然函数,结合贝叶斯公式求出后验分布概率密度函数,实现不确定度的优化估计。仿真及实例分析表明,基于贝叶斯和最大熵方法评定及更新的测量不确定度更加接近理论值。     

Weibull型部件的参数估计方法研究

本文针对Weibull型部件的参数估计问题,在极大似然估计和Bayes估计的一般计算方法的基础上,进一步分析在已知寿命分布类型情况下,对寿命分布参数进行估计的具体方法。在此基础上,重点分析Bayes估计在装备使用数据下的应用。     

考虑参数更新的大跨桥梁温差极值分布估计方法研究

为了建立可靠的大跨桥梁全寿命温差极值分布模型,提出采用广义帕累托分布（Generalized Pareto Distribution,GPD）对超阈值温差的统计特征进行描述,并给出了超阈值温差样本相关性的去除方法和最优阈值的确定方法。为了融合温差分布的先期经验信息和不断递增的温差监测样本,建立了考虑参数更新的贝叶斯估计方法,利用Gibbs抽样对贝叶斯后验分布进行计算,进而得到准确的基于广义帕累托分布的温差极值分布模型。最后利用九堡大桥长期监测温差数据进行了验证。研究结果表明,广义帕累托分布能够对超阈值温差样本的尾部统计特征进行准确描述,提出的考虑参数更新的温差极值分布贝叶斯估计方法能够对广义帕累托分布的参数进行可靠估计,估计的统计模型比极大似然估计计算的结果更接近真实情况。研究结果可为大跨桥梁温差特性分析提供参考。     

Insertion of triangulated surfaces into a meccano tetrahedral discretization by means of mesh refinement and optimization procedures

In this paper, we present a new method for inserting several triangulated surfaces into an existing tetrahedral mesh generated by the meccano method. The result is a conformal mesh where each inserted surface is approximated by a set of faces of the final tetrahedral mesh. First, the tetrahedral mesh is refined around the inserted surfaces to capture their geometric features. Second, each immersed surface is approximated by a set of faces from the tetrahedral mesh. Third, following a novel approach, the nodes of the approximated surfaces are mapped to the corresponding immersed surface. Fourth, we untangle and smooth the mesh by optimizing a regularized shape distortion measure for tetrahedral elements in which we move all the nodes of the mesh, restricting the movement of the edge and surface nodes along the corresponding entity they belong to. The refining process allows approximating the immersed surface for any initial meccano tetrahedral mesh. Moreover, the proposed projection method avoids computational expensive geometric projections. Finally, the applied simultaneous untangling and smoothing process delivers a high‐quality mesh and ensures that the immersed surfaces are interpolated. Several examples are presented to assess the properties of the proposed method.     

The Research of Anti-Wear Properties of Organomolybdenum Compounds in the Engine Oils

A four-ball tester was used to evaluate the anti-wear performance of three kinds of organomolybdemun compounds in the engine oils, i. e., molybdenum dialkyldithiophosphate (MoDDP), molybdenum dialkyldithiocarbamate ( MoDTC), and sulphur and phosphorus freeorganomolybdeum (Molybdate). The results indicate that a low concentration of MoDDP doesn' t improve the anti-wear properties of the commercial engine oils, but a high concentration of MoDDP can obviously improve the anti-wear properties and the load-carrying capacity of the engine oils. MoDTC doesn' t improve the antiwear properties of the engine oils, but worsens the anti-wear properties of the oils. Signifi can timprove ment of frictional and wear characteristics is obtained with Molybdate added in the commercial engine oils and the formulated oils.     

Certification Institutions Expected to Update and Transfer Information on Present Standards

Standards are the basis for production enterprises to organize production, ex-factory inspection, trade (delivery) and technical exchanges, product certification, quality arbitration and supervision.……     

Flow calorimeter for enthalpy increment measurements on condensed gases

A flow calorimeter for enthalpy increment measurements on condensed gases is presented. A better knowledge of the properties of the liquefied natural gas is needed, and therefore a liquid loop has been designed for our flow calorimeter. The fluid loop in the calorimeter is designed in order to avoid the two-phase region, since two phases would give compositional disturbances in the measurements. The avoidance of the two-phase region is made possible by increasing the pressure of the test fluid after the measurement section, then heating the fluid at super-critical pressure past the critical point. Finally, the fluid is throttled to the low-pressure gas state at the inlet condition of the compressor that circulates the fluid. To perform the pressure increase, a new cryogenic pump has been designed. To evaluate the new equipment, measurements were taken on liquid ethane over the temperature range 146–256 K at pressure between 0.9 and 5.1 MPa.     

Certification Becomes Important for the I Quality; and Safety Supervision of the Chinese Liquor Sector

The end of 2007, over 200 unit products of more than 80 Chinese firms have passed the quality grade certification for liquor products. These products involve distilled spirits, beer, wine, yellow wine, fruit syrup wine and others, and cover over 80% of the national top-branded liquor products.……     

Deposition and Coating Properties on CVD Tungsten

Surface characterization and microstructure studies are performed on chemical vapor deposited (CVD) tungsten coating. There is about 2 μm thickness diffusion layer of tungsten in the molybdenum substrate. The thermal shock test shows tungsten coating has good adhesion with molybdenum substrate, but the elements of oxygen and carbon in the tungsten coating have the bad affection to the adhesion. The result of high-temperature diffusion experiment is the diffusion rate from molybdenum substrate to tungsten coating is faster.     

Refrigerators Enter a New Era of Health Preservation Frestech initiates the establishment of China's first standard for household sterilization refrigerators

On November 30, 2007, the China Association for Standardization (CAS) held a press conference at Beijing Diaoyutai State Guest House. Leaders from the China Household Electric Appliance Research Institute, the China Household Electric Appliance Association, and the China Consumers' Association attended and made speeches.……     

Analysis of marine hydrobiont lipid extracts as possible cryoprotective agents

We studied a combined effect of the cryoprotectants both of lipid and carbohydrate origin at the presence of DMSO or without it on cell viability and the RNA synthesis in the embryonic mollusc and echinoderm cell cultures obtained at different developmental stages. Cryoprotective properties of exogenous lipids correlated with their thermotropic behavior. Lipid extracts from marine hydrobiontes, which thermal transitions are characterized by relatively small part of calorimetric thermogram area lying at temperatures above 0 °C (6–18%), were found to possess a considerable cryoprotective activity. The results are discussed in relation to the prediction of the cryoprotective activity of lipid extracts for marine animal cells. In addition, it was found that marine invertebrate cells can be cryopreserved without DMSO at the presence of trehalose and lipid extracts of some marine hydrobiontes.     

Low-Temperature Properties of Silver

Pure silver is used extensively in the preparation of high-temperature superconductor wires, tapes, films, and other configurations in which the silver not only shields the superconducting material from the surrounding materials, but also provides a degree of flexibility and strain relief, as well as stabilization and low-resistance electrical contact. Silver is relatively expensive, but at this stage of superconductor development, its unique combination of properties seems to offer the only reasonable means of achieving usable lengths of conductor. In this role, the low-temperature physical (electrical, thermal, magnetic, optical) and mechanical properties of the silver all become important. Here we present a collection of properties data extracted from the cryogenic literature and, to the extent possible, selected for reliability.