电气化铁路既有线深路堑扩堑石方控制爆破

介绍电气化铁路既有线无隔墙台阶爆破扩堑方法。沿既有线方向设置低台阶 ,边界处布置光爆孔 ,采用“同列同段和列间微差”的起爆网路。采用自制的“炮被”和架设“钢管排架”阻挡飞石、滚石和滑石 ,确保了既有线的安全。文中还概述了“炮被”和“钢管排架”的制做以及作者的认识和体会。     

State-space ARIMA for supply-chain forecasting

ARIMA is seldom used in supply chains in practice. There are several reasons, not the least of which is the small sample size of available data, which restricts the usage of the model. Keeping in mind this restriction, we discuss in this paper a state-space ARIMA model with a single source of error and show how it can be efficiently used in the supply-chain context, especially in cases when only two seasonal cycles of data are available. We propose a new order selection algorithm for the model and compare its performance with the conventional ARIMA on real data. We show that the proposed model performs well in terms of both accuracy and computational time in comparison with other ARIMA implementations, which makes it efficient in the supply-chain context.     

Robust Control of Permanent Magnet Synchronous Motors

In this paper, permanent magnet synchronous motors (PMSMs) are investigated. According to the feature of PMSMs, a novel state equation of PMSMs is obtained by choosing suitable state variables. Based on the state equation, robust controllers are designed via interval matrix and PI control idea. In terms of bilinear matrix inequations, sufficient conditions for the existence of the robust controller are derived. In order to reduce the conservation and the dependence on parameter, the control inputs of PMSMs are divided into two parts, a feedforward control input and a feedback control input, and relevant sufficient conditions for the existence of the controller are obtained. Because of the suitable choice of state variables, the proposed control strategies can cope with the load uncertainty and have robustness for disturbance. Finally, simulations are carried out via Matlab/Simulink soft to verify the effectiveness of the proposed control strategies. The performance of the proposed control strategies are demonstrated by the simulation results.      

Accuracy of wind energy forecasts in Great Britain and prospects for improvement

The metric representing the wind energy forecast error, when reported as a percent, is calculated quite differently than the error metrics for electricity transmission, electricity load, or in other industries such as manufacturing when they are also reported as a percent. The resulting calculated metric is quite different from what would be reported if the method utilized elsewhere was employed. This paper examines the possible forecast assessment and operational challenges associated with this finding. Concerning the prospects for improvement, the errors reported in MW of energy have a systematic component. With this insight, we developed a model to improve accuracy.     

吴庄铁矿盘区间柱回采优化研究

基于吴庄铁矿盘间柱宽度不确定性、两侧均为充填体且高度大的现状，为安全高效回采盘区间柱，制定了盘区间柱两侧采场充填体取芯设计方案，并对充填体进行制样，进行了实验室试块抗压强度试验。试验结果表明：一步骤采场（矿柱）充填体强度整体符合设计强度要求，二步采场充填体强度整体偏低，盘区间柱宽度较设计变化较大，宽度极其不规整，整体呈上窄下宽的规律。鉴于盘区间柱宽度不规则、二步骤采场充填体强度低于预期、采场高度大和盘区间柱回采时不能大面积暴露的特点，采用留设一定厚度间柱和采用较小采场长度的措施进行回采方案制定，制定了小采场分段空场嗣后充填法回采方案。该方案的制定和实施，对于其他类似地下矿山三步骤间柱回采工程具有借鉴意义。     

基于降噪时序深度学习网络的风电功率短期预测方法

利用风电场历史功率数据预测未来一段时间内的风功率,对保障电网安全稳定运行具有重要的意义。本文提出一种基于奇异谱分析SSA(singular spectrum analysis)和长短时记忆LSTM(long-short term memory net⁃work)网络的时序特征预测框架用于短期风功率的预测。首先通过SSA对历史风功率原始数据进行降噪处理,然后经过数据转换之后,以LSTM网络为基础进行预测模型的训练,最后通过某风电场提供的两个风机的历史功率数据进行验证。实验结果表明,奇异谱分析对风电场的历史数据具有良好的降噪性,SSA+LSTM模型在测试数据上取得了较好的预测性能,能够有效进行短期风功率的预测。     

大庆长垣西侧扶杨油层油水同层形成及识别

结合松辽盆地大庆长垣西侧扶余、杨大城子油层的勘探实践,从顶生下储的特殊成藏原理出发,详细地讨论了扶余、杨大城子油层的油水层形成机理,提出了2种形成模式。认为扶杨油层的油水同层是在以上覆烃源岩的超压为驱动力的成藏条件下形成,油水混合运移注入储层,由于储层的孔喉小,油水重力分异不好,造成孔隙存油,喉道存水。这种低渗透储层孔隙结构复杂,含油饱和度低,油水在孔隙中分布状况特殊,使得电阻率等曲线反映流体的信息变弱,造成油水层识别变难。为此提出多参数降维油气水层识别方法,经实际应用取得较好的效果。      

射孔完井出砂预测新模型及其在射孔优化中的应用

分析了射孔完井的油层出砂机理，以线弹性理论为基础，考虑变温应力和流体渗流作用的拖曳力影响，建立了一种新的射孔完井出砂预测模型。应用该模型研究射孔方位、射孔参数对油井出砂的影响，结果表明，深穿透射孔弹比大孔半径射孔弹能更好地避免孔道出砂，采用定向射孔能有效地减少油井出砂问题。其结果对砂岩油藏射孔优化设计具有一定指导意义。     

一种智能型的PCB产业需求预测方法

目前需求预测在整个印制电路板产业的生产活动控制中正扮演着越来越重要的角色。分析了影响印制电路板需求的因素和现有的预测方法,提出了一种适用于PCB产业需求预测的有效方法——遗传/BP—神经网络。实验表明该方法能够进一步改善印制电路板预测的准确度和减少生产成本的消耗。     

中原油田岩石可钻性与声波时差关系研究

选取中原油田的大量岩心，采用常规岩石力学测试方法测定了岩石的可钻性、声波测试方法测定了岩石和岩屑声波时差，通过对测得的岩石可钻性级值和声波时差进行回归拟合，得出了中原油田岩石可钻性与声波时差的关系式。现场应用表明，该关系式较好地反映了中原油田地层岩石可钻性与声波时差的关系，可以在优选钻头时作为参考或直接应用。