Deterministic and probabilistic ship pitch prediction using a multi-predictor integration model based on hybrid data preprocessing,reinforcement learning and improved QRNN

The deterministic and probabilistic prediction of ship motion is important for safe navigation and stable real-time operational control of ships at sea. However, the volatility and randomness of ship motion, the non-adaptive nature of single predictors and the poor coverage of quantile regression pose serious challenges to uncertainty prediction, making research in this field limited. In this paper, a multi-predictor integration model based on hybrid data preprocessing, reinforcement learning and improved quantile regression neural network (QRNN) is proposed to explore the deterministic and probabilistic prediction of ship pitch motion. To validate the performance of the proposed multi-predictor integrated prediction model, an experimental study is conducted with three sets of actual ship longitudinal motions during sea trials in the South China Sea. The experimental results indicate that the root mean square errors (RMSEs) of the proposed model of deterministic prediction are 0.0254°, 0.0359°, and 0.0188°, respectively. Taking series #2 as an example, the prediction interval coverage probabilities (PICPs) of the proposed model of probability predictions at 90%, 95%, and 99% confidence levels (CLs) are 0.9400, 0.9800, and 1.0000, respectively. This study signifies that the proposed model can provide trusted deterministic predictions and can effectively quantify the uncertainty of ship pitch motion, which has the potential to provide practical support for ship early warning systems.     

Scalable Yielding of Highly Stable Polyelectrolyte-Coated Copper Sulfide Nanoparticles by Flash Nanoprecipitation for Photothermal-Chemotherapeutics

Photothermal-chemotherapeutic nanoparticles (NPs) are attracting increasing attention and becoming more widely used for cancer therapy in the clinic due to their noninvasiveness, notable tissue penetration abilities, and low systemic adverse effects. However, functional ligands are conventionally modified onto photothermal NPs to well stabilize the inorganic particles suffering from complex chemical modifications, low productivity, and batch-to-batch inconsistencies, and thus significantly restricting their clinical applications. Herein, flash nanoprecipitation (FNP) is taken advantage of to afford rapid and uniform mixing for generating local supersaturated CuS clusters for small and highly stable CuS NPs effectively stabilized by polyacrylic acid through a continuous strategy. It greatly reduces the complexity for CuS NPs synthesis and functionalization in a facile intensified mixing process. These as-synthesized particles are high-drug loading, scalable, and most importantly, it is easy to control their sizes and charges through external conditions. Toxicity and tumor inhibition experiments confirm the high cell toxicity and good suppression of tumor growth under near-infrared irradiation indicating a promising prospect of FNP in the large-scale and continuous yielding of highly stable and high-performing photothermal-chemotherapeutic NPs for cancer therapy.     

可控中子及X射线源测井技术发展现状及趋势

随着核仪器技术的进步以及安全健康的工业发展需求，具有人工可控性的中子源及X射线源逐步在测井领域得到推广应用，为油气等矿产资源的勘探开发提供了关键技术手段。可控中子及X射线源测井技术是以中子发生器或X射线管产生的中子或X射线与地层物质作用，通过探测中子、伽马或X射线从而进行地层孔隙度、密度、油气饱和度和元素含量的测井技术。本文概述了可控中子及X射线源测井技术，回顾了其发展历程；介绍了可控中子及X射线测井技术在数值模拟、仪器研制及数据处理方法方面的研究现状及应用，并展望了可控中子及X射线源测井技术的发展前景，认为未来可控中子及X射线源测井技术可从以下三个方面开展研究：分析不同射线在能量、时间及空间的分布规律，开展探测理论基础研究；联合不同学科优势，开展多类型多模式的新型仪器研制；增强谱数据校正及解析方法研究，开展谱信息综合分析及应用。     

不同粒度纳米碳酸钙的可控制备

不同粒度的纳米碳酸钙具有不同的特性和应用范围,目前不同粒度纳米碳酸钙的可控制备方法还未见报道。以氯化钙、碳酸铵为原料,以乙醇、柠檬酸和焦磷酸钠为分散剂,采用复分解法研究了不同制备条件对纳米碳酸钙粒径的影响规律,在此基础上制备出平均粒径为17~71 nm的碳酸钙,并对其进行了表征。实验结果表明,所制备的纳米碳酸钙均为球霰石型,纯度很高,而且形貌近似球形。制备条件对纳米碳酸钙的粒径有显著的影响：随着反应温度升高,纳米碳酸钙的粒径减小;随着氯化钙滴加时间的增加,纳米碳酸钙的粒径增大;随着反应物浓度的提高,纳米碳酸钙的粒径先减小后增大;当分散剂为柠檬酸和焦磷酸钠的混合溶液时所得纳米碳酸钙的粒径最小,当分散剂为乙醇和焦磷酸钠的混合溶液时所得纳米碳酸钙的粒径最大。利用这些影响规律通过控制制备条件可以实现所需粒径纳米碳酸钙的可控制备。     

定距螺旋桨对船用主机外特性的要求分析

为解决定距螺旋桨与船用主机在船舶运行工况的机桨匹配问题,结合船舶系泊和航行试验的相关标准,分析和归纳船舶运行数据,将实船测试与船机桨匹配理论计算相结合,得出运输船和拖轮在常用工况及特殊工况下定距螺旋桨对主机外特性的定量要求,为配套不同细分市场时船用主机的优化和开发提供参考依据。     

5 000 t公务船调距桨桨叶数选型研究

针对国内外调距桨桨叶数选型依靠经验为主，对不同桨叶数对推进器整体性能的影响始终缺乏定量分析的现状，以某5 000 t公务船为目标船型，通过调距桨分别配置不同的桨叶数，分析不同桨叶数对目标船型综合性能的影响。总结了公务船调距桨桨叶数选型的方法，归纳了不同叶数调距桨的优劣，可为后续新造船桨叶数的选取提供参考。     

Numerical modeling of the hydraulic blade pitch actuator in a spar‐type floating wind turbine considering fault conditions and their effects on global dynamic responses

This paper deals with numerical modeling of the hydraulic blade pitch actuator and its effect on the dynamic responses of a floating spar‐type wind turbine under valve fault conditions. A spar‐type floating wind turbine concept is modeled and simulated using an aero‐hydro‐servo‐elastic simulation tool (Simo‐Riflex [SR]). Because the blade pitch system has the highest failure rate, a numerical model of the hydraulic blade pitch actuator with/without valve faults is developed and linked to SR to study the effects of faults on global responses of the spar‐type floating wind turbine for different faults, fault magnitudes, and environmental conditions. The consequence of valve faults in the pitch actuator is that the blade cannot be pitched to the desired angle, so there may be a delay in the response due to excessive friction and the wrong voltage, or slit lock may cause runaway blade pitch. A short circuit may cause the blade to get stuck at a particular pitch angle. These faults contribute to rotor imbalance, which result in different effects on the turbine structure and the platform motions. The proposed method for combining global and hydraulic actuator models is demonstrated in case studies with stochastic wind and wave conditions and different types of valve faults.     

可控中子孔隙度测井仪器设计

源距与屏蔽体厚度是直接影响可控中子孔隙度测井仪器测量准确性的重要参数。源距不仅影响测井仪器的测量误差，还影响测井仪器对地层孔隙度的灵敏度。屏蔽体厚度是保障测井响应完全反映地层的重要参数。从灵敏度、屏蔽率以及误差3个方面确定可控中子孔隙度测井仪器的源距与屏蔽体厚度。研究结果表明:近探测器源距越小，测井仪器灵敏度越高；近远探测器的间距对测量误差的影响随间距的增大，先减小再增大；当屏蔽率在70%以上且屏蔽率随厚度的变化较为缓慢时的屏蔽体厚度可作为屏蔽体最低厚度。     

大螺距连续螺旋折流板换热器制造工艺研究

针对大螺距连续螺旋折流板螺旋升角大、成型困难的问题，分析了连续螺旋板成型的基本原理，提出了螺旋导向+热成型+周向力的成型方案，设计制造了连续螺旋折流板压制成型模具，压制过程中通过模具转动得到了一个完整周期的连续螺旋折流板；分析了大螺距连续螺旋折流板钻孔加工的难点，提出了采用数控加工中心铣削加工的方案。通过合理的刀具选择和装夹设计加工出了连续螺旋折流板，解决了大螺距螺旋面管孔加工问题，为大螺距连续螺旋折流板的成型及加工提供了借鉴。     

泳池式轻水反应堆内电磁线圈可控温辐照装置设计

本文设计了在泳池式轻水反应堆（简称泳池堆）内在线测量电磁线圈电性能的可控温辐照装置。采用MCNP程序进行中子物理计算，对泳池堆、线圈骨架的结构尺寸与物质组分进行了精细全尺寸模拟，得出辐照装置的发热功率和中子注量率。通过初步估算，使用ANSYS CFX进行了数值模拟，得出辐照装置内线圈在堆运行时的温度，并提出温度控制的方法。辐照装置采用铝材加工制造，并进行了垂直度测试、气压测试、检漏测试。增加了绝缘设计，将辐照装置与泳池堆之间进行绝缘。在线圈处预埋铠装热电偶，对线圈温度进行实时监测。在泳池堆内对电磁线圈进行辐照试验，结果表明，本文设计的辐照装置能满足电磁线圈在泳池堆孔道内进行辐照试验的要求，并可对电磁线圈进行实时温度控制。