基于Vague集模糊推理的多评价指标模糊决策方法

目前在智能领域中对Vague集的研究已越来越广泛与深入，并运用于决策问题中，有学者已把Vague集用于多评价指标的模糊决策中，但其决策方法在某些时候却难以得到目标。为此，本文提出了一个基于Vague集模糊推理的多评价指标模糊决策方法。在这个方法中，从基于Vague集的模糊推理的观点来看待模糊决策问题。将评价指标和候选方案之间的关系用一组基于Vague集的推理规则来表示，将决策者的要求用一组Vague集来表示，经过模糊推理等过程最后得到决策结果。然后还给出了一个实例说明这种多评价指标模糊决策方法。这个基于Vague集模糊推理的多评价指标模糊决策方法的提出为决策系统提供了一个有用的工具。     

基于CXBR的反潜水面舰艇CGF决策方法研究

智能决策是计算机生成兵力的重点和难点,CXBR决策方法由于其简单实用且兼有有限状态机和专家系统的优点近来在国外得到了推广和应用。该文阐述了CXBR决策方法的思想及方法步骤,并从水面舰艇反潜作战的实际出发,将CXBR的决策方法与专家系统、模糊推理和数据库技术相结合,对水面舰艇反潜的战斗行为进行了合理的划分,构造了作战想定编辑器,初步建立了人工干预和自动决策相结合、灵活性、扩展性强的多级决策支持框架,很好地实现了反潜舰艇CGF的行为自治。     

某武器系统电控设备的故障诊断专家系统

以Visual Basic6.0为开发环境，Access97为数据库结构形式，DAO为数据库访问技术，开发了某武器系统电控设备故障诊断专家系统，介绍了系统的功能组成和实现方法。研究了一般产生式规则与模糊产生式规则相结合的知识表示方法以及精确推理与模糊推理相结合、基于规则的推理和基于实例的推理相结合的推理机制。     

Fuzzy methods for case-based recommendation and decision support

The paper proposes two case-based methods for recommending decisions to users on the basis of information stored in a database. In both approaches, fuzzy sets and related (approximate) reasoning techniques are used for modeling user preferences and decision principles in a flexible manner. The first approach, case-based decision making, can principally be seen as a case-based counterpart to classical decision principles well-known from statistical decision theory. The second approach, called case-based elicitation, combines aspects from flexible querying of databases and case-based prediction. Roughly, imagine a user who aims at choosing an optimal alternative among a given set of options. The preferences with respect to these alternatives are formalized in terms of flexible constraints, the expression of which refers to cases stored in a database. As both types of decision support might provide useful tools for recommender systems, we also place the methods in a broader context and discuss the role of fuzzy set theory in some related fields.     

Fuzzy concepts in expert systems

The authors present a comprehensive expert-system building tool, called System Z-II, that can deal with exact, fuzzy (or inexact), and combined reasoning, allowing fuzzy and normal terms to be freely mixed in the rules and facts of an expert system. This fully implemented tool has been used to build several expert systems in the fields of student curriculum advisement, medical diagnosis, psychoanalysis, and risk analysis. System Z-II is a rule-based system that uses fuzzy logic and fuzzy numbers for its inexact reasoning. It uses two basic inexact concepts, fuzziness and uncertainty, which are distinct from each other in the system     

The application of fuzzy logic to the precautionary principle

One of the major problems in the implementation of the precautionary principle in environmental cases is the estimation of the weight of evidence. In this paper we propose a formal method that determines the weight of evidence based on the specific parameters of a given case. The proposed method is based on an artificial intelligence approach called fuzzy logic, which is commonly used as an interface between logic and human perception, and often applied to computer-based complex decision making. We use one fuzzy expert system that provides a quantification of the estimated environmental damage, and a second fuzzy expert system that computes the weight of evidence in a given case. The proposed expert system can be easily defined and adjusted by regulators and environmental science and policy experts.     

A CBR-based fuzzy decision tree approach for database classification

Database classification suffers from two well-known difficulties, i.e., the high dimensionality and non-stationary variations within the large historic data. This paper presents a hybrid classification model by integrating a case-based reasoning technique, a fuzzy decision tree (FDT), and genetic algorithms (GAs) to construct a decision-making system for data classification in various database applications. The model is major based on the idea that the historic database can be transformed into a smaller case base together with a group of fuzzy decision rules. As a result, the model can be more accurately respond to the current data under classifying from the inductions by these smaller case-based fuzzy decision trees. Hit rate is applied as a performance measure and the effectiveness of our proposed model is demonstrated experimentally compared with other approaches on different database classification applications. The average hit rate of our proposed model is the highest among others.     

A fuzzy inference and categorization approach for supplier selection using compensatory and non-compensatory decision rules

Fuzzy set theory has been used as an approach to deal with uncertainty in the supplier selection decision process. However, most studies limit applications of fuzzy set theory to outranking potential suppliers, not including a qualification stage in the decision process, in which non-compensatory types of decision rules can be used to reduce the set of potential suppliers. This paper presents a supplier selection decision method based on fuzzy inference that integrates both types of approaches: a non-compensatory rule for sorting in qualification stages and a compensatory rule for ranking in the final selection. Fuzzy inference rules model human reasoning and are embedded in the system, which is an advantage when compared to approaches that combine fuzzy set theory with multicriteria decision making methods. Fuzzy inference combined with a fuzzy rule-based classification method is used to categorize suppliers in qualification stages. Classes of supplier performance can be represented by linguistic terms, which allow decision makers to deal with subjectivity and to express qualification requirements in linguistic formats. Implementation of the proposed method and techniques were analyzed and discussed using an illustrative case. Three defuzzification operators were used in the final selection, yielding the same ranking. Factorial design was applied to test consistency and sensitivity of the inference rules. The findings reinforce the argument that including stages of qualification based on fuzzy inference and categorization makes this method especially useful for selecting from a large set of potential suppliers and also for first time purchase.     

从关系数据库中获取专家系统规则

获取知识是构造专家系统最重要的环节。论述了一种从关系数据库中获取专家系统规则的方法，它以集合论和概率论为基础，特别适用于决策和推量型专家系统。     

基于数据库的电力设备故障诊断模糊专家系统的设计与实现

采用SQL Anywhere 5.0设计知识库。PowerBuilder6.5编程实现了电力设备故障诊断模糊专家系统,其知识的表示采用了模糊产生式表示式,引进了模糊匹配与加权模糊逻辑进行模糊推理,实现了一种较为理想的非精确推理。     

A novel approach to guarantee good robustness of fuzzy reasoning

The analysis of internal connective operators of fuzzy reasoning is very significant and the robustness of fuzzy reasoning has been calling for study. An interesting and important question is that, how to choose suitable internal connective operators to guarantee good robustness of rule-based fuzzy reasoning? This paper is intended to answer it. In this paper, Lipschitz aggregation property and copula characteristic of t-norms and implications are discussed. The robustness of rule-based fuzzy reasoning is investigated and the relationships among input perturbation, rule perturbation and output perturbation are presented. The suitable t-norm and implication can be chosen to satisfy the need of robustness of fuzzy reasoning. In 1-Lipschitz operators, if both t-norm and implication are copulas, the rule-based fuzzy reasoning is much more stable and more reliable. In copulas, if both t-norm and implication are 1-l_∞-Lipschitz, they can guarantee good robustness of fuzzy reasoning. The experiments not only illustrate the ideas proposed in the paper but also can be regarded as applications of soft computing. The approach in the paper also provides guidance for choosing suitable fuzzy connective operators and decision making application in rule-based fuzzy reasoning.     

A fuzzy expert system shell using both exact and inexact reasoning

This paper presents a comprehensive expert system shell which can deal with both exact and inexact reasoning. A prototype of this proposed shell, code named as SYSTEM Z-IIe, has been implemented successfully. It is a rule-based system which employs fuzzy logic and numbers for its reasoning. Two basic inexact concepts, fuzziness and uncertainty, are both used and distinct from each other clearly in the system. Moreover, these two concepts have been built into two levels for inexact reasoning, i.e. the level of the rules and facts, and the level of the values of the objects of these rules and facts. Other features of Z-IIe include multiple fuzzy propositions in rules and dual fact input mechanisms. It also allows any combinations of fuzzy and normal terms and uncertainties. Fuzzy numeric comparison logic control is also available for the rules and facts. Its natural language interface which uses English with restricted syntax improves the efficiency of knowledge engineering. Z-IIe is also coupled to a Database Management System for supplying facts from existing databases if appropriate. All these features can be combined to build very powerful expert systems and are illustrated by an example.     

Development of a decision making system for selection of dental implant abutments based on the fuzzy cognitive map

Dental implant is a medical operation used to restore the functions of damaged or missing teeth. Correct implantation requires the proper selection of size and shape among the implant structures. In this paper, we propose a method of constructing a Web-based decision making system that enables the selection of a suitable type of abutment by taking into account the patient’s anatomical data and preferences that are based on an expert’s knowledge and experience for those patients. After the classification of the types of abutment that can be connected to fixtures of implants, we built a knowledge base and case base library according to the characteristics of osseous tissue and teeth shape to select optimal abutment. Moreover, we introduce a fuzzy cognitive map that takes into consideration expert’s knowledge for factors that affect implantation. After the determination of the cause-and-effect relationship among the concepts of the fuzzy cognitive map, an osseointegration factor with the highest conceptual concentration weight is inferred from the decision making system. In addition, the selection process for abutment is expressed as a decision making tree and then, it is applied for the rule-based reasoning and case-based reasoning. The optimized selection result is finally extracted based on the fuzzy membership function using fuzzy inference.     

A fuzzy logic-based system for assessing the level of business-to-consumer (B2C) trust in electronic commerce

The purpose of this paper is to present an application of fuzzy logic to human reasoning about electronic commerce (e-commerce) transactions. This paper uncovers some of the hidden relationships between critical factors such as security, familiarity, design, and competitiveness. We analyze the effect of these factors on human decision process and how they affect the Business-to-Consumer (B2C) outcome when they are used collectively. This research provides a toolset for B2C vendors to access and evaluate a user's transaction decision process, and also an assisted reasoning tool for the online user.     

基于模糊推理的贴近度决策方法及应用

利用模糊综合评判和模糊推理相结合，建立不同评价空间之间的映射，提出了基于模糊推理的贴近度决策方法，通过实例对比分析，验证基于贴近度的优选决策的结果也是合理的。     

A CASE-BASED DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM FOR INDIVIDUAL STRESS DIAGNOSIS USING FUZZY SIMILARITY MATCHING

Stress diagnosis based on finger temperature (FT) signals is receiving increasing interest in the psycho-physiological domain. However, in practice, it is difficult and tedious for a clinician and particularly less experienced clinicians to understand, interpret, and analyze complex, lengthy sequential measurements to make a diagnosis and treatment plan. The paper presents a case-based decision support system to assist clinicians in performing such tasks. Case-based reasoning (CBR) is applied as the main methodology to facilitate experience reuse and decision explanation by retrieving previous similar temperature profiles. Further fuzzy techniques are also employed and incorporated into the CBR system to handle vagueness, uncertainty inherently existing in clinicians reasoning as well as imprecision of feature values. Thirty-nine time series from 24 patients have been used to evaluate the approach (matching algorithms) and an expert has ranked and estimated similarity. On average goodness-of-fit for the fuzzy matching algorithm is 90% in ranking and 81% in similarity estimation that shows a level of performance close to an experienced expert. Therefore, we have suggested that a fuzzy matching algorithm in combination with CBR is a valuable approach in domains, where the fuzzy matching model similarity and case preference is consistent with the views of domain expert. This combination is also valuable, where domain experts are aware that the crisp values they use have a possibility distribution that can be estimated by the expert and is used when experienced experts reason about similarity. This is the case in the psycho-physiological domain and experienced experts can estimate this distribution of feature values and use them in their reasoning and explanation process.     

基于加权FPN的聚驱综合调整系统决策分析

模糊Petri网(Fuzzy Petri Nets, FPN)是一种适合于描述异步并发事件的计算机系统模型,可以有效地对并行和并发系统进行形式化验证和决策分析.针对聚驱综合调整系统知识具有不确定性和模糊性的特点,给出了基于加权模糊产生式规则的加权FPN决策模型.在此模型的基础上,给出了决策推理过程的形式化推理算法.算法考虑了推理过程中的众多约束条件,将复杂的推理过程采用矩阵运算来实现,充分利用了FPN的并行处理能力,使决策推理过程更加简单和快速.并以压裂方式调整为例,说明了该模型具有直观、表达能力强和易于推理等优点,具有较强的实用价值.     

Analogy making in legal reasoning with neural networks and fuzzy logic

Analogy making from examples is a central task in intelligent system behavior. A lot of real world problems involve analogy making and generalization. Research investigates these questions by building computer models of human thinking concepts. These concepts can be divided into high level approaches as used in cognitive science and low level models as used in neural networks. Applications range over the spectrum of recognition, categorization and analogy reasoning. A major part of legal reasoning could be formally interpreted as an analogy making process. Because it is not the same as reasoning in mathematics or the physical sciences, it is necessary to use a method, which incorporates first the ability to specify likelihood and second the opportunity of including known court decisions. We use for modelling the analogy making process in legal reasoning neural networks and fuzzy systems. In the first part of the paper a neural network is described to identify precedents of immaterial damages. The second application presents a fuzzy system for determining the required waiting period after traffic accidents. Both examples demonstrate how to model reasoning in legal applications analogous to recent decisions: first, by learning a system with court decisions, and second, by analyzing, modelling and testing the decision making with a fuzzy system.     

Development of a fuzzy ANP based SWOT analysis for the airline industry in Turkey

Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, and Threats (SWOT) analysis has been widely used to evaluate alternative strategies in order to determine the best one for given business setting. This study aims at providing a quantitative basis to analytically determine the ranking of the factors in SWOT analysis via a conventional multi-criteria decision making method, Analytic Network Process (ANP). The ANP method is preferred in this study because of its capability to model potential dependencies among the SWOT factors. The study presents uniqueness in the way it incorporates inherent vagueness and uncertainty of the human decision making process by means of the fuzzy logic. The proposed SWOT fuzzy ANP methodology was implemented and tested for the Turkish airline industry. The results showed that the SWOT fuzzy ANP is a viable and highly capable methodology that provides invaluable insights for strategic management decisions in the Turkish airline industry, and can also be used as an effective tool for other complex decision making processes.     

Fuzzy cognitive map software tool for treatment management of uncomplicated urinary tract infection

Uncomplicated urinary tract infection (uUTI) is a bacterial infection that affects individuals with normal urinary tracts from both structural and functional perspective. The appropriate antibiotics and treatment suggestions to individuals suffer of uUTI is an important and complex task that demands a special attention. How to decrease the unsafely use of antibiotics and their consumption is an important issue in medical treatment. Aiming to model medical decision making for uUTI treatment, an innovative and flexible approach called fuzzy cognitive maps (FCMs) is proposed to handle with uncertainty and missing information. The FCM is a promising technique for modeling knowledge and/or medical guidelines/treatment suggestions and reasoning with it. A software tool, namely FCM-uUTI DSS, is investigated in this work to produce a decision support module for uUTI treatment management. The software tool was tested (evaluated) in a number of 38 patient cases, showing its functionality and demonstrating that the use of the FCMs as dynamic models is reliable and good. The results have shown that the suggested FCM-uUTI tool gives a front-end decision on antibiotics’ suggestion for uUTI treatment and are considered as helpful references for physicians and patients. Due to its easy graphical representation and simulation process the proposed FCM formalization could be used to make the medical knowledge widely available through computer consultation systems.