改进Elman神经网络在短期热负荷预测中的应用

热电厂的短期热负荷预测在城市集中供暖中起着至关重要的作用,直接影响热电厂的经济效益和热能利用率。电厂的短期热负荷一般采用神经网络预测模型进行预测,而BP神经网络应用最为广泛。Elman神经网络算法在BP神经网络基础上加入了承接层,作为一步延时算子,实现记忆能力,使系统具备适应时变能力,增强系统全局稳定性。但Elman神经网络算法模型的构造依然需要大量样本的支撑,而且输入层的变量多,导致预测时间依然很长,收敛速度慢。该文在Elman神经网络预测前,进行了相关系数预处理和对样本中异常值的平均化预处理,通过数据归一化运算,使Elman神经网络输入层变量大幅减少。仿真实验表明,改进的Elman神经网络算法使预测模型快速寻优,减少预测时间的同时明显提高预测精度。     

Study of planar structure applying reciprocity technique combined with MGEC and analysis of discontinuity

The 3D structure electromagnetic computation presents several difficulties related to the volume mesh. In fact, the entire volume space must be taken into account even the smallest details. In this article, we propose a formulation based on the reciprocity theorem combined with the generalized equivalent circuit method to model a planar 3D structure with both coaxial and planar excitation. The major advantage of this formulation is the fact to reduce the computational volume into 2D ones in the discontinuity plane. In addition, we focused on the calculation of the discontinuity between the excitation source and the planar structure to determine the exact behavior of the electric coaxial excitation model. The obtained current density, electric field distributions, and the input impedance are presented and discussed in the following sections. An approximately good agreement of input impedance with those obtained by the simulator and measurement is shown.     

Levelized cost of energy definition – An economic paradox

Using mean value theorem for integrals we show that the well-known LCOE definition is incorrect.     

关于中值定理的几点应用

本文作者给出了在两种不同类型的证明题中应用中值定理的方法.这些方法简单、实用.     

基于贝叶斯理论的城市供水管网泄漏在线检测与定位

许多城市的供水管网都安装了SCADA(Supervisory Control And Data Acquisition)系统,基于SCADA系统监测到的数据可对管网泄漏进行检测。通过引进统计学概率论中一基本定理——贝叶斯定理来建立管网泄漏的在线检测与定位模型,一定程度上解决了水力模拟误差、测量误差、测点配置等因素导致的不确定性问题。模型通过实例考核取得较为满意的诊断结果。     

一种速度优化的流水线模数转换电容误差平均技术

无源电容误差平均技术是一种本质线性(Inherently Linear)的流水线模数转换电容失配校准技术,但其转换速度是传统技术的一半.为了提高速度,本文提出了一种改进的电容误差平均技术.该技术从减少一个转换周期所需的时钟相数目和减少每个时钟相的时间两个方面来优化速度.电路分析和MATLAB仿真表明,在两种典型的情况下,改进的技术能将速度提高52%(跨导放大器为开关电容共模反馈)和64%(跨导放大器为非开关电容共模反馈)以上.改进的技术更适用于高速高精度及连续工作的应用场合.     

On a large-gain theorem

The aim of this paper is to give a general quantitative requirement which the loop gain must satisfy in order to stabilize a given unstable (possibly nonlinear and time-varying) plant, namely that the gain must exceed one.     

Fuzzy Weirstrass theorem and convex fuzzy mappings

The convexity and continuity of fuzzy mappings are defined through a linear ordering and a metric on the set of fuzzy numbers. The local-global minimum property of real-valued convex functions is extended to convex fuzzy mappings. It is proved that a strict local minimizer of a quasiconvex fuzzy mapping is also a strict global minimizer. Characterizations for convex fuzzy mappings and quasiconvex fuzzy mappings are given. In addition, the Weirstrass theorem is extended from real-valued functions to fuzzy mappings.