Impact of Climate Change on Future Flood Susceptibility: an Evaluation Based on Deep Learning Algorithms and GCM Model

Floods are common and recurring natural hazards which damages is the destruction for society. Several regions of the world with different climatic conditions face the challenge of floods in different magnitudes. Here we estimate flood susceptibility based on Analytical neural network (ANN), Deep learning neural network (DLNN) and Deep boost (DB) algorithm approach. We also attempt to estimate the future rainfall scenario, using the General circulation model (GCM) with its ensemble. The Representative concentration pathway (RCP) scenario is employed for estimating the future rainfall in more an authentic way. The validation of all models was done with considering different indices and the results show that the DB model is most optimal as compared to the other models. According to the DB model, the spatial coverage of very low, low, moderate, high and very high flood prone region is 68.20%, 9.48%, 5.64%, 7.34% and 9.33% respectively. The approach and results in this research would be beneficial to take the decision in managing this natural hazard in a more efficient way.

     

Surface modification of multiwalled carbon nanotubes via surface RAFT copolymerization method and capecitabine-loaded anticancer hydrogel for controlled drug delivery in stomach

ABSTRACT

In our work, reversible addition-fragmentation chain transfer (RAFT)/carbon nanotube (CNT)/acrylic acid (AA)/acrylamide (AAm) nanocomposite was synthesized by living radical polymerization. The structure and surface morphology of the synthesized RAFT-CNT-Hydrogel nanocomposites were analyzed by FTIR, ¹HNMR, SEM, TEM, XRD, and TGA/DTG techniques. The results indicated that PAA/AAm chains grafted with CNT by RAFT polymerization. RAFT-CNT-Hydrogel nanocomposites for drug release investigated in different buffers resulted in a strong pH-sensitive behavior. In total, the obtained hydrogel drug-delivery systems are presented a proper effect versus stomach cancer in vitro and in vivo, and it can be used as candidates for controlled release of anticancer drugs in stomach with exalted remedial agents.     

Efficient designs of reversible sequential circuits

The Journal of Supercomputing - Recently, the synthesis of reversible sequential circuits has attracted researchers’ attention for implementing low-power logic designs. So far, the direct and...     

Voting among virtually generated versions of a classification problem

A classifier combining strategy, virtual voting by random projection (VVRP), is presented. VVRP takes advantage from the bounded distortion incurred by random projection in order to improve accuracies of stable classifiers like discriminant analysis (DA) where existing classifier combining strategies are known to be failed. It uses the distortion to virtually generate different training sets from the total available training samples in a way that does not have the potential for overfitting. Then, a majority voting combines the base learners trained on these versions of the original problem. VVRP is very simple and just needs determining a proper dimensionality for the versions, an often very easy task. It is shown to be stable in a very large region of the hyperplane constructed by the dimensionality and the number of the versions. VVRP improves the best state-of-the-art DA algorithms in both small and large sample size problems in various classification fields.     

On the new solutions for a fully fuzzy linear system

In this paper, we propose a new method to present a fuzzy trapezoidal solution, namely “suitable solution”, for a fully fuzzy linear system (FFLS) based on solving two fully interval linear systems (FILSs) that are 1-cut and 0-cut of the related FILS. After some manipulations, two FILSs are transformed to 2n crisp linear equations and 4n crisp linear nonequations and n crisp nonlinear equations. Then, we propose a nonlinear programming problem (NLP) to computing simultaneous (synchronic) equations and nonequations. Moreover, we define two other new solutions namely, “fuzzy surrounding solution” and “fuzzy peripheral solution” for an FFLS. It is shown that the fuzzy surrounding solution is placed in a tolerable fuzzy solution set and the fuzzy peripheral solution is placed in a controllable fuzzy solution set. Finally, some numerical examples are given to illustrate the ability of the proposed methods.     

NN-based Prediction Interval for Nonlinear Processes Controller

Neural networks (NNs) are extensively used in modelling, optimization, and control of nonlinear plants. NN-based inverse type point prediction models are commonly used for nonlinear process control. However, prediction errors (root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) etc.) significantly increase in the presence of disturbances and uncertainties. In contrast to point forecast, prediction interval (PI)-based forecast bears extra information such as the prediction accuracy. The PI provides tighter upper and lower bounds with considering uncertainties due to the model mismatch and time dependent or time independent noises for a given confidence level. The use of PIs in the NN controller (NNC) as additional inputs can improve the controller performance. In the present work, the PIs are utilized in control applications, in particular PIs are integrated in the NN internal model-based control framework. A PI-based model that developed using lower upper bound estimation method (LUBE) is used as an online estimator of PIs for the proposed PI-based controller (PIC). PIs along with other inputs for a traditional NN are used to train the PIC to predict the control signal. The proposed controller is tested for two case studies. These include, a chemical reactor, which is a continuous stirred tank reactor (case 1) and a numerical nonlinear plant model (case 2). Simulation results reveal that the tracking performance of the proposed controller is superior to the traditional NNC in terms of setpoint tracking and disturbance rejections. More precisely, 36% and 15% improvements can be achieved using the proposed PIC over the NNC in terms of IAE for case 1 and case 2, respectively for setpoint tracking with step changes.

     

Using AR,MA, and ARMA Time Series Models to Improve the Performance of MARS and KNN Approaches in Monthly Precipitation Modeling under Limited Climatic Data

Precipitation is one of the most important components of the hydrologic cycle as it is required for multi-objective applications including flood estimation, drought monitoring, watersheds management, hydrology, agriculture, etc. Therefore, its estimation and modeling via a suitable method is a challenging task for hydrologists. The present study seeks to model monthly precipitation at two stations located in Iran. Two artificial intelligence (AI)-based models consisting of multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS) and k-nearest neighbors (KNN) were used as the modeling techniques. In doing so, nine single-input scenarios under limited climatic data are implemented using minimum, maximum, and mean air temperatures, dew point temperature, station pressure, vapor pressure, relative humidity, wind speed, and antecedent precipitation data. The attained results illustrate that the performance of single MARS and KNN is relatively poor when modeling the monthly precipitation. Additionally, this study develops hybrid models to enhance the precipitation modeling through combining the MARS and KNN models with three diverse types of the time series (TS) models, namely autoregressive (AR), moving average (MA), and autoregressive moving average (ARMA). The most important justification for integrating the models applied is that the AI and TS-based models are respectively capable of modeling the non-linear and linear terms of the hydrological variables such as precipitation. It is therefore necessary to be considered both of the aforementioned terms in the modeling procedure. A performance comparison of the single and hybrid models denotes the higher accuracy of hybrid models than the single ones. However, the hybrid models generated by combining the KNN and the TS models used are the best-performing models.